FIVE GOLD RINGS!
Witness the power of suggestion: I have just put that song in your heads. (You are welcome.)
Here's what to expect for the rest of the month.
My newest tat.Windy and chilly (but with some sun) on Thursday 12/18. High will be 44, but it'll only feel like 2 with the wind. Nah, kidding. But it'll feel like the upper 20s. Gusty and shit. Tomorrow night's low will be 28.
Friday 12/19 looks chilly and breezy with more clouds than sun. Not as windy as Thursday, but still. It'll feel like 32-ish. Overnight lows plunge all the way down to 25.
Saturday 12/20 was looking interesting for a snow/rain event, but that's tracking south, so it's looking like a "miss" for us. I'll say cloudy and chilly with a few light snow showers possible Saturday evening and night. Temperatures holding steady in the 30s.
On Sunday 12/21 it'll be mostly cloudy but dry. Highs in the 40s.
Rainy on Monday 12/22 - but that's rain, not snow or sleet.
Some sun on Tuesday 12/23 and rather mild, with highs in the mid 40s.
Wednesday 12/24 looks milder still, with highs in the upper 40s. Expect breezy conditions with occasional rain showers.
Will we have a white Christmas?
RACIST.
Thursday 12/25 will be seasonably cooler (highs in the upper 30s) and a bit rainy/drizzly. We could see some light freezing rain/sleet overnight into Friday. But don't cancel your yuletide debaucheries.
Pattern shift on Friday 12/26: it becomes colder. High only in the mid 30s and a little brisk.
What about the weekend of the 27th and 28th?
I'm glad you asked.
A cold and icy shitshow, especially on Sunday. Highs don't even get above freezing.
Monday 12/29 will be sunny and really cold with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens.
Continued cold on Tuesday 12/30 and Wednesday 12/31 (full disclosure: it took me seven tries to type "Wednesday" correctly). Highs around freezing with some snow showers possible on the 30th.
When will it snow for reals, Monsoon?
January 1st and 5th and 8th and 12th, my good people. (At least that's what I've got my weather-eye on.)
Have a happy and healthy holiday season. I mean it. And happy new year.
Stay tuned for updates!
Scattered snow showers tonight, flurries tomorrow
Hi there.
Tonight (Wednesday 12/10), we'll see windy conditions with scattered snow showers. There will be little to no accumulation, but during a period of steadier snowfall we could see a slick spot or two (even some reduced visibility), so be careful. (Watch your bridges and overpasses, too, since they tend to freeze sooner than other paved surfaces.)
Tomorrow (Thursday 12/11), we'll see mostly cloudy and windy conditions continue. Scattered snow showers (and later, flurries) throughout the day. There may even be a period or two of steadier snow that'll produce some "are we getting out early"s and "can we open the window"s, but won't last.
Chance of delay Thursday, 32%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 7%
Friday 12/12 will be breezy and seasonably cold with times of clouds and sun. It will be dry (no snow or rain or whatnot), but not great for being outside. Highs will be in the upper 30s, and winds will be out of the west-northwest at 15-20mph. So at, say, 1pm, it'll be 38 degrees out but it'll feel like 27. So it's not the best day to be outdoors, so if you have a job like construction worker, or surveyor, or garbage collector, or educator who needs to march his or her kids from one place to the next, gird your loins. If you must be outside--let's say, you are required to do so, like it's your job--then bundle up. It'll feel like it did today when we left school--chilly and unpleasantly brisk--minus the snow showers.
The weekend looks a bit milder (highs in the low to mid 40s), less windy, and certainly sunnier. Overnight lows just a short-hair below freezing.
Next week looks really nice: seasonable and dry. Highs will be in the 40s for the week, and then no frozen precipitation straight through to Christmas. Still looking at December 27th-29th as a potential snowmaker, and expect it to get downright frigid right around that time, too.
Stay tuned for updates!
Welcome to December, the tenth month (...?)
It is December. Today is the first day of the month. December has 31 days. "December" comes from the Latin decem, meaning "ten," because December was originally the 10th month on the Roman calendar. (It followed September, the 7th month; October, the 8th month; and November, the 9th month.) Then a succession of Roman emperors added months and whatnot, and there was a papal intervention, and egos took over. And, as happens when egos and government and religion become involved, something clear and simple became convoluted and irrevocably complex. So the last four months of the year are still called September, October, November, and December, but the names no longer make a damned bit of sense.
But the weather. What of the weather?
Mild today, at least to start. Mostly cloudy with a passing shower possible in the early afternoon. Temperatures will reach the mid 50s by noontime and then tumble precipitously throughout the rest of the day. By midnight it'll be around the mid 30s.
Much colder Tuesday 12/2 with temperatures holding steady at or just above freezing. A weak cold front will bring some precipitation, some of which will be frozen. Expect snow showers mixed with sleet in the afternoon and early evening. I don't see any accumulation here, but there could be a few issues with visibility or slipperiness in the evening commute.
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 2.441%
Chance of early dismissal Tuesday, 12.992%
Cloudy and milder on Wednesday with a passing rain shower or two in the morning. High around 50, low 34.
Not quite as mild, but clouds will still dominate on Thursday. High 44, low 31.
Friday looks overcast and chilly with highs in the upper 30s. Potential for a bit of rain and sleet, especially toward evening, so I'll keep an eye on that.
The weekend will be overcast with highs on both days in the mid 40s. And on both days, scattered rain showers are likely.
Seasonable (and actually sunny) next week! Highs in the upper 40s, lows in the mid 30s. Getting colder toward the end of the week.
The next real chance of frozen (or freezing) precipitation beyond the forecast period looks to be December 16th - 17th.
Stay tuned for updates!
DON'T CALL IT A COMEBACK
"Don’t call it a comeback / I been here for years / Rockin’ my peers and puttin’ suckas in fear / Makin’ the tears rain down like a monsoon / Listen to the bass go boom / Explosion, overpowerin’ / Over the competition, I’m towerin’."
That’s LL Cool J, right there. Ladies Love Cool James. 24 years ago. Man.
Anyway, guys, thank you, for real, for your emails and words of concern when I said I was taking a hiatus. What I’ve realized, though, is that I am a forecaster. And forecasters gotta forecast. It’s not even like a choice. It’s like … a destiny and shit.
So there’s a low pressure system due to track up the east coast Tuesday night into Wednesday, which is the busiest travel day of the year. It’s a Nor’easter, and rumors are swirling that it could produce eight to twelve inches of accumulation and travel miseries aplenty.
Back up the wagon, there, Hoss. Put the horses back in the barn. Pry your chaps out your crack. So forth.
Here’s what I think:
Precipitation starts as rain on Wednesday morning about 7-9am. Surface temperatures will be in the mid 30s at this point, rising to the upper 30s by noon. Then temperatures will begin to fall; how quickly they do so and how pervasive that cold is in the atmosphere will determine how nasty it will get. (Storm track as well. This will all become clearer in the next few days.)
I think we begin seeing wet snow mixing in by 2pm. Travel through mid-afternoon will be mostly problem-free. The rain, which will be heavy at times, may cause some delays (particularly in roadways prone to flooding and for airlines, where low ceilings could pose a problem), but generally, travel should be fine.
Even when wet snow begins to mix in with the rain—and even when it begins to proper snow, as the cold air aloft makes its way down the column of air—the roads will just be wet. Any afternoon accumulations will be on grassy and unpaved surfaces.
Wednesday evening is when you don’t want to be out and about so much. From 6pm to about 11pm it will be snowing, and it will be a wet, obnoxious snow that will reduce visibility to about 2 ½ feet. So travel delays on Wednesday from dinnertime on will be fairly widespread (driving or flying).
And then the wet snow tapers to flurries and snow showers, ending by about 6am Thursday.
Accumulations:
- South Jersey, Delaware – an inch of accumulated wet snow at most
- Philly, central Jersey – a wet inch; two inches at most
- Chester County, Berks, Allentown, Montgomery County – one to three inches
- Chance of cancellation Wednesday: 6%
- Chance of early dismissal Wednesday: 18%
Full forecast for the coming week (and beyond) appears below. But if you really only care about Wednesday’s thing, then stop reading.
This is David Hasselhoff (right) with Kid Cudi. Kid Cudi is not LL Cool J, but he is another rapper, so that counts.Monday 11/24: rain overnight, heavy at times, tapering by 8 or 9am. Temperatures rising into the upper 60s behind that front. Windy, too, in the afternoon, but it won’t be a brisk type of wind from the northwest; it will be a soupy wind from the south-southeast, like a mouthbreathing creeper respiring on your neck on the subway.
Tuesday 11/25: sunny and seasonable. Getting windier and chillier as the day goes on. Early high near 50, but then fall through the 40s into the 30s in the evening.
Wednesday 11/26: the thing I talked about above with the rain and the wet snow and whatnot. Look at it.
Thursday 11/27: Some flurries possible early, then turning sunny and breezy. High about 40.
Friday 11/28: Cloudy to start, then clearing. Highs only in the mid 30s.
The weekend: highs in the lower 40s. Overnight lows in the 20s.
Do you see any snow on the horizon? Nah. I actually see a bit of a warming trend, with highs in the 40s or even 50s for the first half of December. Next windows I am looking at include December 14-15 and December 20-21. And December 24-25!
Stay tuned for updates!
Cold front to usher in dramatic temperature change
Friends of Monsoon,
There are rumblings about the potential for [expletive deleted] on Tuesday night. Sure, it is going to be much colder.
In fact, we're going to see temperatures drop 30 degrees in 24 hours (from 74 at 7pm Monday to 44 at 7pm Tuesday) and 45 degrees in 36 hours (74 now; 29 by 7am Wednesday).
But [frozen crap]?! Nah. I don't see it. (Except for the Great Lakes and western PA, where we see the rain end as wet snow, mainly covering grassy surfaces.)
Hasselhoff April Fool's Day photobomb. Absolutely #Hoffsome.Here's what to expect:
Showers develop by Tuesday morning and continue throughout the day. Rain will likely be heavy at times, and some places will see some late-afternoon thunderstorms move through. Most places will see about an inch of rain all told from this.
Temperatures stay in the 60s until about noon, when the wind will shift (from southerly to westerly) and temperatures will fall through the 50s throughout the afternoon. 40s by 6 or 7pm. Rain ends by 10 or 11pm.
Becoming rather windy overnight. Expect temperatures to dip just below freezing (32°F) by daybreak Wednesday.
Sure is going to be chilly on Wednesday: sunny but breezy, with highs only reaching 46. Patchy frost late Wednesday night into Thursday morning, too.
The Hoff with the gigantic model-Hoff up for auction. (Though just days ago, The Hoff called the auction house and pulled the item from the auction, saying he couldn't bear to part with it. So if you guys had decided to pitch in on it as a surprise, the dream is over.)A little milder on Thursday with temperatures reaching in to the upper 50s. Same thing Friday. Partly sunny both days.
The weather picture is a little muddled thereafter, but it appears that Saturday will have some scattered showers, and then Sunday will be cloudy but dry.
And I don't see it getting what I would call unpleasantly warm (highs reaching above the 70s) again until mid-May...
Stay tuned for updates!!
Winter Weather Advisory until Monday at 8am. (What the eff??)
Gift idea! Only $10K to get the bidding started. Check out the link at the bottom of this post.Alright, so the 75 inches of rain we got this weekend may end in some winter weather. I know, I know. I thought we were finished with the winter weather bull*#!@. But no. Places in central Pennsylvania are already seeing wet snow.
Here's what to expect:
Temperatures will fall through the 30s overnight. The winter weather advisory has been issued for Berks and Lehigh Counties (among other places), but I expect only the northernmost portions of these areas to be affected. So when the winter weather advisory calls for "snow and sleet accumulations 1 to 2 inches along with a light coating of ice," I think only the highest elevations and northern areas in Berks are going to see anything like that.
So by 7 or 8am, we'll see temperatures down around freezing (32°F) with strong winds sending wind chills down into the lower 20s.
Also, with an inch and a half to two inches of rain in most places in PA (and 2 1/2 to 3 in many places in Jersey), we're seeing flooding issues and road ponding in the area.
In terms of the morning commute, the winter weather advisory says the winter weather could impact road travel, but I think the chances of that are remote (unless you're in, like, Shenandoah or Pottsville or Lehighton, or even Hamburg). I don't see much chance for accumulating snow/sleet and do not think road surfaces will be cold enough to lead to slickness and whatnot.
Chance of delay Monday, 18%
Chance of cancellation Monday, 3%
Monday will turn out clearing but breezy; high of 54.
Tuesday and Wednesday look mostly sunny and milder still with highs both days in the mid 60s.
Cooler and rainy by the end of the week (highs in the mid 50s with rain both Thursday and Friday), but I'm thinking it clears for the weekend.
Stay tuned for whatever.
Check out the auction for the Hasselhoff oversized lifeguard figure.
If you haven't had a DUI, you are being ripped off by not using this ridiculously easy trick!
Trying to drum up traffic to the site by using a favorite spam come-on: I am not beneath that.
What to expect today and tomorrow:
Scattered showers from mid-morning Wednesday through mid-afternoon. Thunderstorms possible late afternoon and early evening (5 to 7, roughly). Not everyone will see them, but those who do will see high winds and heavy rain (but not a whole lot of lightning).
The temperature will rise to about 50 in the late afternoon, then tumble through the 40s starting around 6pm, then through the 30s by 9pm, and into the 20s by midnight. And into the teens by the Thursday morning commute!
The mystified Hoff. "What ... the ... Hoff ... is that?"High on Thursday will be 26. Low in the upper teens.
Precipitation will be rain, perhaps mixed with a little snow or sleet at the end, but accumulations will be a coating at the most.
The two most significant issues will be "flash freezing" and "wind."
"Flash freezing" is a colloquial weather term that refers to rapidly dropping temperatures. The cold front that moves through will drop temperatures from 52 at 6pm Wednesday to 18 at 6am Thursday - a drop of 34 degrees in 12 hours - which qualifies. That could freeze up everything that's left on the roads from the rain, causing travel issues.
And gusty winds will howl overnight: 30-35mph sustained with gusts near 50mph.
So:
Chance of delay Thursday, 38%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 9%
Seasonably milder on Friday and for the weekend: highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. Slight chance of snow showers Sunday night and Monday morning. No accumulation.
Stay tuned for updates!
The Wednesday-Thursday mess. And is that it?
It's certainly going to feel like spring has arrived during the first half of this week.
The second half of the week, not so much.
Here's the forecast.
Partly sunny, breezy, and milder on Monday with highs getting into the lower 50s. Overnight lows in the mid 30s.
Tuesday is gorgeous: partly sunny, breezy, and unseasonably warm. High about 60. Again, only in the mid 30s overnight.
Wednesday is when we get a little reminder that winter isn't quite finished with us yet. Earlier indications were that we'd have a potentially major snowstorm with high accumulations, but the solution now suggests a milder storm: chilly with rain throughout the day, especially in the afternoon and evening. Temperatures in the 40s, so I don't expect any issues with ice/sleet/snow.
How does he keep finding different pictures of David Hasselhoff to include in his forecasts? Understand this: the supply of David Hasselhoff pictures on the internets is endless. As is my objectless tenacity at finding them. Also, the Troubadour of Charm City has never met a camera he doesn't like. He will pose literally anywhere, for anyone, at any time. So fear not: Hasselhoff is the gift that keeps on giving. Forever.
A cold front will move in behind the moisture, so temperatures will plummet below freezing by midnight and stay in the 20s for the rest of the day Thursday. Mixing will depend on how much moisture is left when temperatures fall; right now, I'd say not much. Maybe a bit of icing on Thursday morning to watch out for.
The big issue is going to be how much colder it is, and it will feel ever colder than that. (Thursday will be clearing, cold, and windy, with wind chills in the middle teens.) Overnight low will be 15.
School issues:
Chance of early dismissal Wednesday, 17%
Chance of delay Thursday, 36.433%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 3.14%
Alright, but then surely we're finished with having to worry about winter and cancellations and crap? No, my good people.
The weekend is nice: highs in the upper 40s and low 50s on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Overnight lows right around freezing. Maybe a few rain showers on Saturday 3/15 (the Ides of March!), but far from a washout.
Next Monday evening into Tuesday, it will get colder, and there is the chance for a snowstorm. That's over a week away, so we'll just leave it at that.
Thursday 3/20 is the first day of spring, but Mother Nature is going to be all, like, winter's over when I say it's over, suckas. That day looks sunny and windy with a high of only 40.
Stay tuned for updates!
[The video below is a tour de Hoff from his latest album. Penned by David, aka the German Neil Diamond. Finally, I am not TheHoffFan72. Honestly.]