Monsoon's Forecast Update for the Monday-Tuesday event and beyond...
The Monday-Tuesday event has come into sharper focus, so I thought I’d provide an update on that system as well as my thinking on the other winter weather that could affect our region over the next 10 days or so.
Snow and rain arrive by around noon Monday but will change over to all rain (intermittent showers) by Monday afternoon and into the evening. Rain is likely overnight into Tuesday morning, and if snow and ice mix in toward the morning commute, roads could get dicey. (I think plain old rain will predominate and roads will be fine.) There will likely be some rain showers lingering throughout the day on Tuesday, and even on Tuesday night we could see a bit of freezing rain and drizzle.
Adjusted school scheduling projections:
Monday delay, 10%
Monday cancellation, 20%
Monday early dismissal, 35%
Tuesday delay, 40%
Tuesday cancellation, 25%
Wednesday delay, 30%
Wednesday cancellation, 15%
Wednesday 2/24 brings a second event, when we could see snow developing by 8 or 9pm and continuing off and on into Thursday. This snowfall looks as though it will linger into Thursday night and potentially bring us several inches of accumulation. I will monitor this situation closely and provide updates (and cancellation/delay potentials) closer to the event.
There is the potential for passing snow showers and flurries anytime from Friday 2/26 through Sunday 2/28, but these will not be a factor in terms of accumulation or driving hazards.
Beyond that, it’s looking as though the heavy precipitation during the first week of March may coincide with milder temperatures, so the March 3rd-4th event may be all or mostly rain. Thereafter, temperatures plummet again and the pattern sets up for another possible storm.
Stay tuned…