Monsoon on midweek storm, delay and cancellation projections
Tonight will be extremely cold with lows getting down into the single digits, and temperatures will only be in the teens well through Monday morning rush, so all the meltage from today will be well frozen over. Use caution and see my cancellation/delay predictions below…
Here are some central and southeastern Pennsylvania weekend storm totals per readers:
|
Brookhaven |
26.5” |
|
Adamstown |
20” |
|
Littlestown |
26” |
|
Lancaster |
19” |
|
Kirkwood |
24” |
|
Douglassville |
18” |
|
Norristown |
23” |
|
Sinking Spring |
18” |
|
Nolde Forest |
22.5” |
|
Myerstown |
18” |
|
New Cumberland |
22” |
|
North Wales |
18” |
|
Shillington |
21” |
|
State College |
15” |
|
Upper Merion |
21” |
|
Temple |
11” |
Believe it or not, before we can even catch our collective breath from the walloping we took from the weekend blizzard, another system is poised to affect our area on Tuesday into Wednesday. Here’s the forecast…
Snow develops mid- to late-afternoon Tuesday, light at first. Intensifying by 8pm, then continuing overnight and into late Wednesday afternoon, tapering to scattered snow showers Wednesday evening. (The bulk of the snowfall is early Wednesday morning through early Wednesday afternoon, and watch for high winds on Wednesday as well.)
Though model guidance is not yet in agreement, my call is that we’ll see 8 to 10 inches out of this storm—maybe even a foot. On top of the snow totals from this weekend’s blizzard, that would be positively crippling.
Revised cancellation/delay predictions for the coming week:
Monday 2/8: Cancellation 60%; Delay 85%. (It’s just nasty out there, and lots of roads are still snow-covered. Many families in our districts are dealing with 1 ½ to 2 feet of snow will insufficient resources to deal with the onslaught. Even with the melting that happened today thanks to the brilliant sunshine, frigid temperatures overnight will cause “black ice” on even the clearest of surfaces.)
Tuesday 2/9: Cancellation 10%; Delay 15%; Early dismissal 25%. (The snow will not begin in earnest until Tuesday evening, so I don’t really see that an early dismissal will become necessary. Then again, I didn’t think we at Mifflin would get an early dismissal on Friday, either…)
Wednesday 2/10: Cancellation 85%; Delay 20%. (Unless the timing or storm track change dramatically, a delay just wouldn’t make sense. A cancellation, on the other hand, would.)
Thursday 2/11: Cancellation 40%; Delay 90%. (Wind and temperatures again in the teens overnight into Thursday could lead to a treacherous Thursday-morning commute.)
Friday 2/12: Cancellation 15%; Delay 20%. (It’ll still be cold, but temperatures may inch above freezing. It’s a relief, too, because otherwise Mifflin’s Act 80 full day on Friday would be disrupted…)
Stay tuned for updates/tweakage on this forecast.