...are you ready for the next one?

That's what the checkout person at Home Depot said to me this evening after we had recounted our respective Hurricane Sandy woes.  She was talking about the Nor'easter that, rumors says, will strike our area next week with heavy rain and wind--or, in some permutations, snow.

In short: I don't see it.

I mean, the storm is there, but it comes together too late (and too far out to sea) to affect us.  Instead, it will likely hit New England with some snow.

The most likely scenario: the Nor'easter skirts our area (just giving us a bit of rain) and stays out to sea, then arrives in New England Wednesday into Thursday.One of the reasons people are latching on to this Nor'easter forecast is that the European model (the "Euro," one of the forecast models), which was one of the first to key in to Sandy's superstorm potential, is depicting a strong storm here.  But there are many models--the GFS, NAM, UK, CMC, and others--and none of them can be regarded as a complete forecast.  Meteorologists (even amateur ones like me) look at the computer models together with atmospheric trends, weather maps, data, and climatology.

So to sum up: there's a small chance this will hit us.  But most indications are that it will miss us, and I feel confident in that forecast.

The weather, then...

Saturday 11/3 will be chilly and breezy with partly sunny skies.  High 48, low 32.

Sunday 11/4 looks quite similar: clouds and sun with breezy conditions.  High 47, low 30.

Monday 11/5 will be partly sunny and chilly with diminishing and clearing skies toward evening.  High 48, low 29.

Tuesday 11/6 will be partly sunny, breezy and chilly (stop me if you've heard this before) with a high of 48 and a low of 31.

Wednesday 11/7 looks cloudy, breezy and chilly with rain.  Not a nice day for outdoor activities.  High 45, low 38.

Thursday 11/8 will be windy and chillier with partly sunny skies.  High 45, low 28.

Friday 11/9 will be sunnier and a bit milder with diminishing winds.  High 51, low 35.

Next weekend (the 10th and 11th) will be milder still with more sunshine and highs in the mid 50s.

The following week (beginning with the 12th) will start mild with rain, and end cold with possible snow and ice.  (But that's two weeks away, so let's no worry just yet.)

In Hasselhovian news, The Hoff has been spotted recently filming a Dutch advertisement in Portugal, revealed on the television newsmagazine "Access Hollywood" that Carmen Electra was his favorite "Baywatch Babe," and is reportedly mulling a proposal to his Welsh girlfriend Hayley Roberts. 

But the big Hasselhoff news is that Herr Fantastisch has deigned to do a Lifetime movie - it's called The Christmas Consultant and features Hoff in the title role as a holiday planner hired by a workaholic wife and mother (Caroline Rhea), but he ends up teaching the whole family important lessons about life and blah blah blah.  The draw here is that David will be in full Hammelhoff mode (hamming it up and riffing on his Hoff persona in a self-referential meta-deconstruction worthy of Michel Foucault). 

Tune in November 10th at 8pm on Lifetime.

Monsoon

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Midweek Nor'easter comes into sharper focus

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Update on Sandy, Der Frankenstorm