The latest on 3/3 snow.

An image from the latest GFS run.Some model runs are shifting the storm southward, but there are many factors that make this difficult for the models to handle - the time of year, the warm air from the south, and the alpha stream, to name three.

There is no alpha stream.  I totally made that up.

The point is that I could get into a bunch of meteorological jargon and bore the living scheisse out of you, but I think most of you would like me to just tell you what I think will happen.  So here goes.

By about just after noon Sunday, we'll start seeing some light snow showers/flurries/sleet moving in to the area.  On and off with this through the afternoon and early evening.  I think roads are fine during this bit, with just a few slippery spots here and there.

David "Helloooo ladies, says my chest fur" HasselhoffBy 6 or 7pm Sunday, we'll see steadier snow, intensifying overnight.  Tapers in the early afternoon Monday.

I see mixed precipitation on Sunday, but all snow for Monday.

How much?

Lehigh Valley, Berks, central and northern New Jersey, NYC: 4-6 inches with minimal icing.

Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Lancaster Counties: 6-8 inches and a little bit of icing.

Philadelphia, Wilmington (DE), South Jersey: 10-14 inches of snow.  In some places, more.  And enough mixing that power outages look likely.

West Virginia, northern Virginia, DC, southern Maryland: 6-8 inches of snow and significant icing.

Updated school closing percentages (for Berks only):

Monday delay, 35%

Monday cancellation, 85%

Tuesday delay, 70%

Tuesday cancellation, 38%

And hey, good news!  Thursday-Friday now looks like it might be a miss.  Might.

Stay tuned for updates!  I plan on sending out a thinger on Sunday to reflect the changing realities.  Of the situation.  You know what I mean.

David Hasselhoff, master of action sequences.

Monsoon

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Monsoon's first call on Monday 3/3 storm