Monsoon's Complete Weather Update for Friday, 5 December 2008

Habari mori,

 

Here’s the forecast, which includes some very chilly weather, several chances for frozen precipitation, and a few potential delays or cancellations. Just a quick reminder that anything beyond a few days is subject to change dramatically depending on a variety of factors. I will send updates as needed to clarify and provide more specifics.

The weather:

 

Weather narrative: Cold air is entrenched in the region now, and a clipper system moves through over the weekend, as noted. These are notoriously difficult to predict; often they fall apart and produce only widely scattered snow showers, but there is evidence that this time it’ll hold together a little more nicely and give us a coating to an inch—maybe a couple of inches in some places. Another system will bring snow overnight Monday the 8th into Tuesday the 9th. Right now Tuesday looks to be a “mixed bag” with potentially hazardous conditions created by snow and sleet.

Next weekend looks like it may bring us some steadier snow that could accumulate in the 4-6 inch range. We get a brief warm-up to begin the last full week before break, and then another system could produce snow and some schedule problems as well around the 17th and 18th.

 

Future weather: After the 17th-18th weather system, things begin to moderate a bit for the remainder of the month.

 

Delay & cancellation potentials:

Monday 12/8 delay, 60%; cancellation, 20%

Tuesday 12/9 delay, 30%; cancellation, 65%

Wednesday 12/10 delay, 25%; cancellation, 10%

Wednesday 12/17 delay, 70%; cancellation, 25%

Thursday 12/18 delay, 55%; cancellation, 75%

 

Monsoon

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Monsoon's Update for Sunday, 7 December 2008

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The Official Monsoon Martin Winter 2008-09 Outlook