Midweek storm update - Monday evening
This weekend's models took the storm south of our area, but today's models are trending a bit northward.
Bottom line: I like what I'm seeing. The storm is looking bigger, and heavier precipitation means more snow for us.
My call tonight is that snow begins early Wednesday morning (3-4am) and ends as light snow showers by early Thursday morning. There may be a bit of mixing (with rain) on Wednesday afternoon, but I expect the bulk of precipitation to fall as snow. I'm going with accumulations in the range of 6-8 inches in our area.
Chance of cancellation Wednesday: 70%.
Chance of delay Wednesday: 20%.
Chance of cancellation Thursday: 40%.
Chance of delay Thursday: 70%.
Winds will be strong (25mph, with some gusts in the 30s) during this storm, with higher winds at the coasts, leading to coastal flooding and beach erosion. We could see some power outages in this area due to the winds and the heavy, wet snow on trees and power lines.
All of us here at monsoonmartin will be keeping a close eye on this storm. Stay tuned for updates as we fine-tune the forecast in terms of track, timing, and troubles (had to preserve the alliteration there)...