Nor'easter - February 22, 2026

Snow.

After a couple of days trying to sort out Sunday's storm (track, precipitation type, etc.) - and wading through the many (and often wildly different from one another) forecast model runs, which now include AI forecasting of varying types and proclivities - I have a better idea of what we might see.

W. H. Auden, born 2/21/1907So here is something approximating an informed stab a respectable amateur meteorological take.

First, the snow is going to be heavy and wet, periodically mixed with rain, as noted below.

Baltimore - Washington: precip begins early Sunday morning, say sometime between 5 and 7.  Rain could mix in a bit in the afternoon, driving down accumulations.  I think we'll see mostly snow due to lower temperatures aloft, along with periods of heavy snow that will cause prodigious accumulation.  Winds will begin moderate, but by late afternoon and evening (and even into Monday morning), we'll see them kick up to 15-20mph sustained with gusts up to 30-35mph.  Nothing catastrophic, but there could be isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.  And of course, some areas (mostly on the NJ-DE-MD coasts) will see periods of blizzard-like conditions.

Nina Simone, born 2/21/1933

• Accumulations - 5-8 inches generally in the DMV, but that number could be reduced if a significant portion of the precipitation is rain.  Isolated areas could see as much as a foot!
• School Monday? - No.
• When will it end? - continues overnight from Sunday to Monday, tapering by noon and ending by mid-afternoon.

Barbara Jordan, born 2/21/1936Norristown - Bucks - Philly: similar observations about the timing (Sunday early morning through Monday late morning) and winds.  Should be spared from blizzard-like conditions.

• Accumulations - 7-10 inches with isolated areas approaching 14-16 inches.
• School Monday? - No.  Probably not Tuesday either.
• When will it end? - tapers and then comes to an end around noon Monday.

Alan Rickman, born 2/21/1946Jersey Shore, Delaware beaches, Maryland's Eastern Shore: increased likelihood of blizzard-like conditions (higher winds than described in the forecast areas above) which could bring greater indicidence of power outages.

• Accumulations - could be in the 9-12 range with several inches more possible in isolated areas.  The snow forecast numbers for this region could fall dramatically if there is more rain (or even mostly rain).

Tituss Burgess, born 2/21/1979

• School Monday? - No.  Could be more days off if there are widespread power outages and/or flooding.
• When will it end? - starts as a wintry mix by mid-morning on Sunday, winding up a bit later than the other regions (tapering and ending by around dinnertime on Monday).

Jennifer Love Hewitt, born 2/21/1979Reading - Berks - Lancaster: similar to Norristown - Bucks - Philly.  An increased risk of blizzard (or blizzard-like) conditions, which can result in more quickly deteriorating road conditions, blowing and drifting snow.

• Accumulations - 6-12 inches, more in isolated areas.
• School Monday? - No, although it seems to be increasingly popular for schools to deploy and two-hour delay even when the road/lot conditions remain treacherous.
• When will it end? - noon Monday (or shortly thereafter)

Jordan Peele, born 2/21/1979

And there you have it.  A good, old-fashioned bomb cyclone to round out a miserably frigid and snowy winter.

Enjoy!

💓 Monsoon