Monsoon's thinking on the midweek storm - Tuesday afternoon
Alright...it's time to make my final call on snow totals, timing, and school scheduling disruptions (though I may tweak the numbers a bit later this afternoon and/or tonight as new model guidance comes in). Here goes:
Light snow begins to fall by 8 or 9am Wednesday, mixing with freezing drizzle and showers by the early afternoon. I don’t see enough warm air to give us “plain rain” for any extended amount of time. The overwhelming majority of the precipitation we receive with this storm will be frozen.
Precipitation changes back to snow by late afternoon (4 or 5pm) and continues, heavy at times, until tapering early Thursday morning (by 5 or 6am at the latest).
Morning/afternoon accumulation will be an inch or so. The rain will result in a treacherous glaze on sidewalks and secondary roads; slush on major thoroughfares.
The “back end” (Wednesday late afternoon and evening) accumulation is the real wild card here. Given the moisture in this storm, as well as its likely track and duration, expect accumulations of 8-10 inches in Reading/Berks, Lancaster County, and the Lehigh Valley. Roads will become treacherous very quickly during this heavy snow, so it’s an especially good idea to stay home Wednesday evening and night.
Probability of cancellation Wednesday, 60% (administrators may foresee a travel nightmare for the afternoon and seek to avoid that by putting the ixnay on the school day. oolschay ayday. whatever.)
Probability of early dismissal Wednesday, 80% (more likely is that the light snow will arrive too late to influence administrators; when it arrives and travel conditions deteriorate, they will call early dismissals for noon or 1pm.)
Probability of (at least) a delay Thursday, 90% (most of us will be waking up with well over half a foot of snow on Thursday morning; it will take a while to dig out and clean up.)
Probability of cancellation Thursday, 75% (possible lingering snow showers early Thursday morning, strong winds, and falling temperatures--as well as persistently treacherous road conditions and transportation problems--may prompt administrators to bag the day altogether.)
Monsoon's thinking on the midweek storm - Monday afternoon
The picture of this week's storm is coming into sharper focus the closer we get to the event.
A bit. The track has shifted a bit westward and the atmospheric temperatures look like they'll stay down a bit longer.
Here's what I think:
Light snow begins sometime after midnight Tuesday night and continues into early Wednesday morning, becoming steadier toward mid-morning. This snow will accumulate only an inch or two before mixing with, then changing into, freezing rain. The result will be a slushy--and sometimes slippery--mess.
Then it gets interesting.
The "back end" of the storm--when the system begins to pull away and the precipitation changes back to snow--is when we could see more significant accumulations. It will also be blustery and colder behind the system. We could see totals of 8-10 inches in central PA, Berks, and the Lehigh Valley.
Probability of a delay on Wednesday: 60%
Probability of cancellation on Wednesday: 75%
Probability of an early dismissal on Wednesday: 40%
Probability of a delay on Thursday: 55%
Probability of cancellation Thursday: 30%
I'm looking at February 3rd-4th for another chance for snow...but let's take it one storm at a time.
Stay tuned for updates (tonight, tomorrow) on this Nor'easter as they become necessary.
Monsoon's thinking on the midweek storm - Sunday afternoon
This is a tough one.
Forecasters--at least in this age of technological advances and fancy equipment--are always told that the models are to be used as tools, not taken as gospel. ("Models" here refer to the alphabet soup of forecasting models, or computer-generated projections of what the weather will do days and sometimes even weeks ahead.) And yet a lot of forecasters seem to be taking model agreement on storm track, on the absence of adequate phasing, and on air temperature, as if they were writ by Mother Nature herself in her little daily planner.
Nay nay, say I.
This is the WRF (Weather Research & Forecasting) model, showing the bulk of the moisture heading offshore. As noted above, I have reason to believe that this solution will change...
The model composites suggest the following: the Nor'easter will follow an Eastern track, thus providing us here in the Berks forecast area only a glancing blow. Moreover, the dearth of moisture and the lack of cold air will mean that much of the precipitation that does fall will be in the form of rain.
Lots of time looms between now and the onset of the storm, so my thinking (and therefore, my forecast) is subject to change--maybe several times. But for now, today, this afternoon, this is what I think is going to happen:
A small clipper system will pass to our north on Monday night into Tuesday, sparing us any snowfall at all. Meanwhile, the Nor'easter will be forming off the Carolina coast. I think the track will shift slightly westward, but enough of the cold Canadian air will remain in the area that there will be little to no mixing. And it will be really windy.
The snow arrives Wednesday morning, becoming intense throughout the day and evening, and tapering to flurries overnight into Thursday. Expect accumulations in the 6-8 inch range, school cancellations on Wednesday, and delays on Thursday.
Did I mention that this forecast is subject to change? Because it is.
Stay tuned.
Monsoon on next week's potential baaaaaad mother-(shut yo mouth)
Already following that strange little storm system overnight--which gave a delay to some, converting a half-day into a nearly full day--the streets are abuzz with talk of a monster storm next week. So here's my initial take and a heads-up...
Check out the closed low in the top image, and just look at all that moisture on the GFS. Keep in mind that these models are only forecasting tools, but if this comes to fruition...oooo-wee!It's a classic Nor'easter setting up, most likely arriving early Tuesday morning and ending by Wednesday evening. Right now it looks as though it'll snow heavily throughout that period--with strong winds blowing the snow slantways and greatly diminishing visibility.
The forecast models are blowing this into a major storm, but there are several factors (including storm track, warm air aloft, and the amount of moisture available) that could mix the snow with rain or give us just a glancing blow.
Here's what I think: due to a trough of cold air settling into the area, I think this'll be all snow, at least for us in the Berks region. I also think it'll be a slow-moving system that has the potential to churn away over our area for up to 36 hours. The damage: two feet of snow and at least two more snow days.
But hey - there are 3 1/2 days between now and then, and a lot can change in that space for the reasons mentioned above. I'll be able to give a more definitive forecast on Sunday and/or Monday. Until then, it might not be a bad idea to reassess your travel schedule for Tuesday and Wednesday...just in case.
It's a complicated storm, and no one understands it but Monsoo-oon
Daaaaaaamn right.
Monsoon's Forecast: Thursday night / Friday and beyond...
Alright, my good people...here's my forecast:
Clouds increase throughout the day ahead of a storm system approaching from the west. Snow develops by 10 or 11pm tonight and tapers by 9 or 10am Friday. Some breaks of sunshine Friday afternoon as frigid arctic air moves in, plunging temperatures into the low teens overnight Friday to Saturday.
I've been vacillating a bit in terms of accumulation with this storm due to conflicting information regarding phasing (pulling moisture from another system/source to create a bigger storm) and snow ratio (the snow to liquid equivalent, which varies depending on surface temperature, wind speed, and other factors). But it's time to make up my damn mind. And so:
I'm downgrading the accumulation slightly to 4-6 inches...a bit more in NE Pennsylvania and the Poconos than in our area.
Possibility of at least a delay Friday: 95%
Possibility of cancellation Friday: 75%
Saturday and Sunday will feature variable cloudiness (sunnier on Saturday) with daytime highs only about 20 and overnight lows of about 6. (6!) Expect below-zero wind chills, especially on a breezy Saturday night. Apart from the famously crude idiom referencing a "brass bra," my favorite cold-weather sayings are "it's cold enough to freeze the nuts off a brass monkey" and "colder than a penguin's bollocks." "Cold as a banker's heart" is a good one, too, though it's a bit too pointed, and I would imagine that bankers aren't too partial to that one. Around the hallways here, the most popular manner in which to express this level of frigidity is "it's cold as balls, yo." Eloquence, it would seem, takes many forms.
Anyway: cold.
Next good chance for accumulating snow is Monday night into Tuesday, and this could be a bit more significant (in the 8-12 inch range at first blush). But that's more than 4 days away, and a lot could happen between now and then...
After that, we could be in for some more snow on February 2nd and 3rd.
Stay tuned this evening for updates when and if they become necessary...
Update at 9:50pm - light snow has begun to fall in the area. This fast-moving storm has caused me to make a few adjustments to the forecast:
Snow ends by 6 or 7am Friday. Accumulations will be in the 3-5 inch range.
Possibility of at least a delay Friday: 80%
Possibility of cancellation Friday: 60%
Monsoon
Monsoon's Tuesday night update: what about the rest of the week?
Two winter weather-makers in our immediate future to worry about...let's get right into it.
A bit of freezing drizzle or light snow showers are likely to move through the area overnight and into the early morning Wednesday - before 8 or 9am. Expect only a coating to an inch of accumulation at most. It appears now that the temperatures will fall a couple of degrees below freezing over most of the forecast area in the overnight hours. As a result, the morning commute - perhaps involving icy patches and a bit of snow - could be a bit dicey. Temperatures rise well into the mid 30s on Wednesday afternoon and the sun will peek through before another precipitous decline into the low 20s overnight into Thursday.
Thursday will be colder with increasing clouds. Temperatures will get only to 30, and the low overnight into Friday will be 22.
A model projection for Friday's storm. Please note that the greens at the center of the precipiation map do not indicate rain, but heavier snow.A snow storm enters the area very late Thursday night (arriving between 11pm Thursday and 1am Friday) and continues through early Friday afternoon. Right now I'm seeing about 5-7 inches of accumulation (it's snow; no mixing here) from this storm, but I will fine-tune the forecast and send out updates as the situation warrants.
Saturday and Sunday will be frigid: highs in the low 20s, lows in the single digits, with a stiff breeze.
More snow is possible on Monday, 1/24 and Friday, 1/28 as well. No, seriously.
And now, my school schedule percentages...
Possibility of delay Wednesday 1/19: 35%
Possibility of cancellation Wednesday 1/19: 15%
Possibility of early dismissal Thursday 1/20: 20%
Possiblity of at least a delay Friday 1/21: 90%
Possibility of cancellation Friday 1/21: 80%
Stay tuned for updates / tweakage!
Monsoon's Forecast for the Monday-Tuesday Snow / Ice Event
Let's get right to it:
Monday will be very cold, with highs only in the mid 20s.
Flurries and light snow develop Monday night, perhaps by 7 or 8pm, but the bulk of the snow will fall during the overnight hours and perhaps even into the Tuesday morning commute. Look for an inch or two of accumulation before the precipitation changes over to freezing rain - perhaps as early as 5 or 6am, but definitely by 7 or 8am.
[Freezing rain is just regular old rain that freezes to surfaces. Sleet falls as frozen ice pellets; I think we'll have little to no sleet here...just snow to freezing rain.]
Freezing rain continues to the early afternoon hours, when the surface temperatures finally creep above the freezing mark. The extended period of freezing rain will likely lead to widespread icing of telephone lines, tree limbs, and sidewalks. It will also make for potentially treacherous driving on Tuesday.
In the full range of wintry precipitation, an ice storm is really much more dangerous than heavy snowfall. With that in mind...
Chance of at least a delay on Tuesday: 85%
Chance of a cancellation on Tuesday: 75%
I will post an update tomorrow night (Monday 1/17) if my thinking changes on any of this.
Further heads-up: I'm looking at a small event for Friday 1/21 and a potentially more significant event for Sunday 1/23 into Monday 1/24...
Tuesday morning update on the Tuesday / Wednesday storm
I'm keeping nearly everything in place from my previous blog entry of last night, but need to make an adjustment in the timing...
It now appears that light snow will begin to reach the ground by 5 or 6pm - perhaps even a touch earlier in some areas - but the steadier, more intense and accumulating snow will still hold off until 10pm or later. I'd say you should be OK to drive in these periods of light snow, but remember to use caution given the havoc barely more than a coating of snow caused on Friday and Saturday mornings.
School closing / delay percentages are the same: 10% Tuesday early dismissal; 95% Wednesday delay (at least); 70% Wednesday closing.
Here's a look at this system as it nears our area. Stay tuned for updates as the situation warrants...
Monday evening update on the Tuesday / Wednesday storm
My good people,
A few "tweaks" here, based on the latest model and radar information...
The snow doesn't start to reach the ground around here until later Tuesday - probably 6 or 7pm as light snow, intensifying by 10 or 11pm.
Snow tapers by 9 or 10am Wednesday with light snow showers possible into the mid-afternoon.
School Percentages:
Tuesday early dismissal, 10%
Wednesday delay, 95% (chance of at least a delay)
Wednesday cancellation, 70%
Travel:
You should be OK for travel throughout the Tuesday evening commute. Most treacherous time for driving is when the storm begins to intensify (overnight) and on Wednesday morning before the roads are treated / cleared.
Storm totals:
I'm sticking to my earlier amounts, with the additional comment that NYC and parts of New England will likely see a foot or more out of this storm, which will intensify after it passes our area...
Monsoon's Forecast for the Tuesday-Wednesday storm
First, my good people, it is cold out there. “Cold” call I it, for, to define true coldness, what is ‘t but to be nothing else but cold? That it’s cold, ‘tis true; ‘tis cold, ‘tis pity, and pity ‘tis ‘tis true.
Brr.
As for the Tuesday-Wednesday storm, my plan is this: to offer a forecast now (roughly 36 hours prior to the event) and to send out an update Tuesday morning (12 hours prior) fine-tuning my forecast. I may even send out an update later today if the situation warrants it…
Driving through the county on Saturday morning and sliding on surfaces both treated and untreated, secondary and primary—I was reminded how just a wee bit of snow can wreak travel havoc. We only got an inch or so, but there were at least four accidents on local roads in less than an hour Saturday morning.
So…even if we only get a coating, roads can become treacherous. Be careful.
Here’s the forecast: Light snow arrives by mid-afternoon Tuesday and intensifies Tuesday night by 8 or 9pm. Snow is steadiest overnight, then begins to taper to light snow showers by 7 or 8am and should end by late morning.
Temperatures steady in the upper 20s.
Snow totals:
4-6 inches Berks
3-5 inches Lancaster
Fewer than 3 inches Lebanon and west
6-8 inches Philadelphia, Montgomery, and Chester Counties
5-7 inches Lehigh
7-9 inches Bucks
8-10 inches plus for central and northern NJ
Percentages, school scheduling disruptions, Berks region:
Tuesday early dismissal, 20%
Wednesday delay, 85% (that’s the chance that we’ll have at least a delay)
Wednesday cancellation, 65%
Snow potentials for the coming week
A couple of interesting potential winter weather events coming up, and with them the inevitable speculation. “It’s just a little dusting, the guy on the radio said,” say some. “I hear they want 8 inches now,” say others. (But don’t we all? I mean, so school can be cancelled? What did you think I meant? Really.)
Anywho, let’s get right to it.
Placement of the most snowfall with Friday’s storm is tricky; some areas could get a moderate snowfall, and others could just get a coating to an inch. Here’s what I think is going to happen, as of now…
Intermittent snow arrives by dawn Friday and tapers by Friday evening; a couple of snow showers are still possible early Saturday. I think the Berks area is going to get 2-3 inches of accumulation at most. The higher accumulations, perhaps in the 6-8 inch range, will likely be see in northeast Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, and NYC Metro.
What does this mean for us? Temperatures will hold steady in the upper 20s for the duration of the snowfall, so look for deteriorating travel conditions throughout the period. Possibility of delay Friday: 20% (wouldn’t make much sense); possibility of cancellation Friday: 40%; possibility of early dismissal Friday: 60%.
The weekend is looking windy and cold, with temperatures struggling to make it to freezing.
Tuesday 1/11 is the next good chance of snow, but as of now I think this system is going to miss us.
Updates forthcoming as these events come into better focus…
Weather Super-Alert: Sunday blizzard!
OK, whoa. Here's the story:
The regional radar, as of 7:15pm on 12/25/10It's going to start snowing around here about 7 to 9am Sunday, tapering around midnight Sunday, ending by about 7 to 9am Monday. It's a Nor'easter, folks.
A blizzard differs from an ordinary snowstorm in that it involves winds of 35mph or greater along with dramatically compromised visibility. And starting around 6pm Sunday and continuing overnight, we're getting a freaking blizzard. No joke.
You should probably be able to get around (driving and such) throughout the afternoon Sunday, but I strongly discourage travel from dinnertime Sunday through the overnight period.
Temperatures will be in the 20s throughout the day, with wind chills during the day in the teens; evening and overnight wind chills will dip well into the single digits.
Accumulations? Here are my predictions as of Saturday evening...
Berks & Lehigh Counties: 5 to 7 inches; the amounts will be difficult to measure as drifting occurs. Isolated areas may receive more.
Lancaster, Chester, York, & Lebanon Counties: 4 to 6 inches; some places locally higher, as above.
Philadelphia, Delaware, & Montgomery Counties: 6 to 10 inches; some places locally higher, as above.
Central & Southern New Jersey: 14 to 18 inches; some places locally higher, as above.
North Jersey & New York City: 12 to 16 inches; some places locally higher, as above.
So there you have it. Just goes to show what even a slight change in track can do to a forecast...
Stay tuned for updates!
Weather Alert: Snow likely on Sunday
It now appears that the storm now impacting much of the south will affect us on Sunday. Expect light snow showers (and a few steadier periods possible) beginning Sunday afternoon. Lots of wind, particularly on Sunday night, will cause near-blizzard conditions, so it's no a good idea to be out and about in that weather. Temperatures will be in the 20s for most of the day, but wind will make it feel like it's in the teens (single digits at night).
Accumulations: The Reading area--as well as west toward Lebanon and east toward Allentown--will see a coating to an inch; perhaps a bit more in isolated areas. Lancaster and Chester Counties will see 1-2 inches. Philadelphia and southern New Jersey will get 3-5 inches. Some places--particularly near the coasts and in higher elevations--may see more than 6 inches.
Clearing and very windy on Monday with wind chills in the single digits throughout the day.
Stay tuned here for further details on this developing situation.
Oh, and ... Merry Christmas.
Monsoon's White Christmas (?) Weather Update
There are rumblings of a Christmas weekend storm…here are my thoughts:
Thursday 12/23: Mostly sunny and windy (sustained at 20mph; gusts as high as 30-35mph). High 35, low 22.
Friday 12/24: Clouds mixed with sunshine and continued windy (though a bit less so than Thursday). High 37, low 21.
Saturday 12/25: Continued breezy and mainly cloudy with some breaks of sun. Clouding up at night, but dry. A bit colder. High 31, low 19.
Sunday 12/26: Overcast and quite windy with a few light snow showers possible. At this point, it appears that the moisture will be centered well to our south, so while some of us will get a dusting to a coating at most, this is not the snow event it could have been. Still, the roads are pretty cold, so even a slight coating during a light snow shower could produce slippery conditions. Use particular caution during times of precipitation on Sunday and Monday. High 31, low 22.
Monday 12/27: Continued overcast and very windy, with a few periods of light snow possible – particularly early. Turning out partly cloudy and remaining cold. High 29, low 18.
Tuesday 12/28: Sunny, clear, and still somewhat windy. High 34, low 21.
Wednesday 12/29: Partly cloudy and a bit milder. High 37, low 24.
Thursday 12/30: Mostly sunny and seasonable. High 38, low 27.
Friday 12/31: Overcast with a bit of snow likely. High 36, low 26.
Saturday 1/1/11: Sunny and colder. High 28, low 14.
Sunday 1/2: Clouds predominate. High 30, low 19.
Beyond: The first week of the New Year looks potentially headache-inducing, weather-wise. I’m looking at a chance of ice (mixed precipitation causing travel nightmares) on Monday 1/3, Wednesday 1/5, and Thursday 1/6.
As always, stay tuned. I will send updates if my thinking changes significantly regarding the Christmas weekend storm track or any aspect of the forecast…
Take care,
Weekend (and beyond) weather update from Monsoon
It was 15 degrees when I made my way in to school this morning, and later today the temperature will get up to a balmy 33.
It’s damned cold.
For the past week or so, I’ve been tracking the potential for a Nor’easter in our area this weekend. Here are my thoughts on this weekend’s weather and beyond…
Friday 12/17: Partly cloudy and breezy; less frigid. High 36, low 23.
Saturday 12/18: Partly cloudy initially; becoming overcast. There is the chance of snow late Saturday night into Sunday as a Nor’easter chugs up the eastern seaboard, but right now my call is no snow. It looks like the system will drift out to sea so that precipitation will only graze Virginia and Maryland.
Sunday 12/19: Mostly cloudy and breezy with the aforementioned tiny chance of snow (but as noted above, my call right now is no snow). High 34, low 23.
[I will send out another update if my thinking changes on the weekend event...]
Monday 12/20: Partly cloudy, windy and colder. High 31, low 18.
Tuesday 12/21: Clouds mixed with sunshine; a chance of snow showers late. High 36, low 25.
Wednesday 12/22: Generally overcast and quite windy, with sustained winds above 20mph and strong gusts. High 35, low 26.
Thursday 12/23: Partly cloudy and still somewhat windy. High 39, low 24.
Friday 12/24: Increasing clouds with flurries or snow showers possible late. High 39, low 25.
Saturday 12/25: Sunny and clear; a bit milder. High 44, low 33.
Sunday 12/26: Sunny and clear; unseasonably mild. High 46, low 36.
Beyond: Highs in the upper 30s and low 40s through the beginning of January; no real chance of wintry precipitation.
As always, stay tuned…and have a Very Merry Hoffmas!
Monsoon's Forecast (and "Hasselhoffs" postmortem) for 10 December 2010
First, let me get this out of the way: I have just been informed that “The Hasselhoffs” has been pulled by A&E (they haven’t used the word “cancelled,” but really, that’s what is happening). Thanks go to Sue Fineman for ruining my damn day.
The first two half-hour episodes aired Sunday 12/5 to apparently disappointing ratings (718,000 for the first episode; 505,000 for the second one), so A&E has no plans to air the remaining 10 episodes that were produced this past spring and summer. I cannot deny that the show was a putrid mélange of show-biz clichés, ham-fisted reality-show scripting, and was made almost unwatchable by Hasselhoff’s two screeching, shiftless daughters, Hay and Tay. But there was potential in this show, if only because of its title subject. I mean, this is David Friggin’ Hasselhoff, folks. You know what? I can no more.
But despite this programming travesty, this capricious and hair-trigger decision on the part of shortsighted A&E execs, the weather goes on.
The next two weeks or so should be interesting: fluctuating temperatures, high winds, rain, ice, and snow. Here are the details…
Weather narrative: A nice-sized storm this Sunday will give us nearly all rain (and few, if any, travel woes), despite some models that were suggesting our first measurable snow earlier this week. Rolling in behind the moisture will be the coldest temperatures of the season so far (and really, winter hasn’t even begun). We won’t see freezing (looking up from below) until Thursday or maybe even Friday.
Next good chance of frozen precipitation is Sunday 12/19 into Monday 12/20; stay tuned. Look for a bit of moderation thereafter.
Beyond the forecast: More of the same here, with highs in the low 40s and lows around freezing. Precipitation is possible for 12/25 into 12/26, but I think it would be in the form of rain…
Monsoon's Update: Heavy Rain Tuesday to Wednesday; Hunkelhoff's Show to Debut...
Hey all,
Just wanted to alert you to some heavy rain coming to our area.
Tuesday 11/30 will be overcast with the high climbing to the low 50s by mid-afternoon. Expect some drizzle and showers by late morning, followed by steadier rain developing in the early evening and night.
Temperatures will be nearly steady overnight into Wednesday, when rain could be heavy at times. Look for the heaviest precipitation throughout the morning and early afternoon Wednesday. It's going to be really windy, too. And we could even get a heavy thunderstorm or two--rare for 12/1 to say the least. Flood watches have been posted since we could get as much as 2.5 inches (perhaps more) in some places. This event will taper to showers and drizzle by early evening; temperatures will fall precipitously through the night.
Thursday will be much cooler and breezy with a high in the low 40s and an overnight low in the mid 20s. More of the same on Friday and Saturday.
Keeping an eye on a potential for snow on Sunday 12/5, but that's sketchy right now.
[On 12/5 at 10pm, A&E's new reality series "The Hasselhoffs" will debut. I will be live blogging during the show, so be sure to join me here for feverish chatter and breathless Hoff-worship!]
...and by the way, here's footage of The Hoff's triumphant "Baywatch"-themed return to "Dancing With the Stars" for the finale...
Next week will be quite cold with highs not even making it out of the 30s. Snow on the 12th or 13th? Stay tuned...
Monsoon's Thanksgiving Weekend Forecast 2010
Big changes in our weather coming, along with the first chance of frozen precipitation. Here’s your forecast for Thanksgiving weekend (and a bit beyond)…
Wednesday 11/24: Noticeably cooler and windy with plenty of sunshine. Clouding up overnight. High 51, low 32.
Thursday 11/25: Overcast. Precipitation will begin before daybreak, and we may therefore see some snow or sleet before it becomes all rain. Rain continues through the evening. Temperatures hold nearly steady in the low 40s throughout the day. High 44, low 40.
Friday 11/26: Cloudy and windy with a few breaks of sun; we may have a lingering shower or two, especially early. It will feel damned bitter. High 45, low 27.
Saturday 11/27: Sunny, breezy, and chilly. High 41, low 25.
Sunday 11/28: Sunny and a little milder. High 48, low 31.
Monday 11/29: Sunny and a little milder still. High 52, low 39.
Tuesday 11/30 through Thursday 12/2: Temperatures falling through the 50s and, by Thursday, into the 20s. Rain showers are possible late Tuesday and Wednesday, and we’ll have to keep an eye on Thursday for the potential of wintry precipitation.
As you may have noticed, forecasting snow and sleet really gets the ol’ blood pumpin’ through Monsoon’s veins. Here we go!
Monsoon's Weather Alert - potential for severe weather
My good people,
Just wanted to alert you to a bit of potentially severe weather headed our way...
Overcast and unseasonably warm this evening; light showers and drizzle developing around midnight. Look out for isolated severe thunderstorms, as well as brief periods of heavy rain (which will be more widespread) overnight and into Wednesday morning.
Slight chance of a lingering shower Wednesday afternoon, then clearing. High Wednesday in the low 70s.
Thursday will be mostly sunny and very windy, with wind gusts possibly reaching 40mph. High Thursday will be in the mid 60s, but it will feel a bit cooler.
Friday will be partly cloudy, breezy and cooler with highs only in the low to mid 50s.
The weekend is looking nice: partly cloudy with highs in the mid 50s.
Next week will be rainy and chilly. So sorry.
Anywho, that's it.
Monsoon's Weather Update for Thursday evening, 21 October 2010
Here it is, my fine people...
Friday 10/22: mostly sunny, seasonably cool, and rather windy. High 59, low 38. Patchy frost is possible overnight Friday into Saturday.
Saturday 10/23: partly sunny and somewhat milder, but still breezy. High 66, low 46.
Sunday 10/24: clouds mixed with sun; even milder. High 71, low 53.
Monday 10/25: overcast and mild with the chance for a few showers, especially late. High 72, low 58.
Tuesday 10/26: mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a couple of lingering showers possible early. High 66, low 50.
Wednesday 10/27: sunny and breezy with plenty of sunshine. High 64, low 42.
Thursday 10/28: clouds mixed with sunshine. High 62, low 44.
Friday 10/29: cloudy and markedly cooler with showers likely throughout the day and into the evening. High 52, low 33.
Saturday 10/30: mostly sunny and cooler with a high only in the mid to upper 40s and a low perhaps dipping into the 20s. Places that haven’t had frost yet will get it on this night, most def.
Sunday 10/31: partly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 40s and lows into the 20s.
The first week of November: autumnal high pressure dominates; plenty of sunshine and dry conditions, with highs generally around 50 and lows generally in the low 30s.
Beyond: look for a bit of November Rain and milder conditions heading into the second week of the month.
In the third week of November, it will rain frogs.
(That scene's from an incredible, sprawling 1999 film called Magnolia, directed by Paul Thomas Anderson. It is about three hours of wide-ranging, crushing despair, and then this.)
And hey - let's be careful out there...