Monsoon's Winter Weather Update - Sunday afternoon
OK—here is my final pre-storm call. Most crucial here is where the “cutoff” will occur, which is predicated upon the storm’s track. Some forecasters are suggesting that the cutoff (the point at which intensity of snow and accumulations dive dramatically) will be somewhere in the immediate western suburban counties of Philadelphia. I think it’s going to be a bit farther west—somewhere around Lebanon or even Hershey—putting us in the thick of the accumulation. So here’s what I think is going to happen, adjusted slightly from this morning...
Philadelphia and Bucks County, as well as much of New Jersey: light snow (perhaps mixed with rain at first) arrives around 5 or 6pm, heaviest overnight, tapering toward early Monday afternoon. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday. Accumulating 10-12 inches, with isolated spots getting as much as 14-16 inches. Probability of school delay: 20%. Probability of school cancellation: 95%.
Chester and Montgomery Counties: light snow arrives around 6 or 7pm, heaviest overnight, tapering toward noon Monday. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday. Accumulating 8-10 inches, with isolated spots getting as much as 12-14 inches. Probability of school delay: 25%. Probability of school cancellation: 90%.
Berks and Lancaster Counties: light snow arrives around 7 or 8pm, heaviest overnight and into the early morning hours, tapering around mid-morning Monday. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday; drifting will become an issue, especially in colder locations where the snow is dry and fluffy. Accumulating 4-6 inches, with isolated areas getting more. Probability of school delay: 30%. Probability of school cancellation: 75%.
I will send out updates as the storm begins if anything looks dramatically different from what I've laid out above...
Monsoon's Winter Weather Update - Sunday morning
Here’s an update on the storm expected this evening into Monday morning, with my own predictions about snowfall totals and cancellation probabilities. As new guidance comes in and the storm continues to develop, I may send out an additional alert later on today.
Track is most important here. If the expected track shifts 20 miles to the east, we’ll get an inch or two. If it shifts 30 miles to the west, we’ll get 10 inches or more. If it stays on target according to the latest model guidance, we’ll get 3-4 inches. Temperatures are plummeting, increasing the “fluff” factor and nudging totals upward. Here’s what I think is going to happen:
Philadelphia and Bucks County, as well as much of New Jersey: light snow (perhaps mixed with rain at first) arrives around 5 or 6pm, heaviest overnight, tapering toward early Monday afternoon. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday. Accumulating 12-15 inches, with isolated spots getting as much as 18-20 inches. Probability of school delay: 20%. Probability of school cancellation: 95%.
Chester and Montgomery Counties: light snow arrives around 6 or 7pm, heaviest overnight, tapering toward noon Monday. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday. Accumulating 10-12 inches, with isolated spots getting as much as 15 inches. Probability of school delay: 25%. Probability of school cancellation: 90%.
Berks and Lancaster Counties: light snow arrives around 7 or 8pm, heaviest overnight and into early morning hours, tapering around mid-morning Monday. Expect blustery conditions, particularly overnight and into Monday; drifting will become an issue, especially in colder locations where the snow is dry and fluffy. Accumulating 6-8 inches, with isolated areas getting more. Probability of school delay: 30%. Probability of school cancellation: 85%.
Looking ahead... really cold on Monday night (low around 10) and on Tuesday (high of only 28) before we get gradually milder conditions throughout the week. Expect a high in the upper 40s and a bit of rain on Friday the 6th. Even milder with a few showers over the weekend, and highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Temperatures drop a bit for the following week, but nothing like the frigid conditions that will predominate from this evening through Tuesday evening...
Monsoon's Weekend Weather Update
An update on this weekend’s weather...
Friday: much milder with a high in the mid to upper 50s. Some rain, particularly late in the morning and scattered throughout the afternoon. Clearing somewhat, breezy and getting down to the mid 30s overnight into Saturday.
Partly cloudy and breezy on Saturday with a high around 43. Scattered periods of light snow and sleet arriving at night, with perhaps a coating but no significant accumulation. Use caution when driving during a period of frozen precipitation. Low 28.
Breezy and colder Sunday with a high in the upper 30s and lingering snow and rain showers, mainly in the morning. Overcast throughout the day; overnight low in the low 20s.
On Monday there is the potential for snow throughout the day from a coastal storm, but right now strong indications are that it will hug the coast and largely miss our area. (Stay tuned for weekend updates.) Right now the call is: mostly cloudy, windy and colder with a high of 30 and a low of 21. It’s a near-hit with accumulations of a coating to an inch.
Becoming gradually milder throughout the week with no additional precipitation expected; by Friday, look for a high above 50.
Looking ahead: maybe a snowstorm around March 9th or 10th. But let’s not get our hopes up.
Monsoon's Weather Forecast / Bunk Birthday Bash
Tuesday, February 24th is the 6-month anniversary of The Bunk’s birth, and he is still (at about 35 pounds now) just as wonderful as the day we got him in November. He’s been a little finicky with his food, and a couple of incidents have driven (rather graphically) home just how sensitive his stomach can be. But I think we’ve got a good handle on his intake now, and of course the folks at Total Dog continue to take great care of him.
Here are a couple of recent photos. In the first, The Bunk merrily chews his rubber chicken chew toy. The second is a bird's-eye view of The Bunk with the evidence of his lavatory marauding. (The Bunk has an insatiable appetite for facial tissues—preferably used—as well as toilet paper, paper towels, and the like. In fact, Sasha and Ruthie had that same proclivity. Does anyone know why dogs go gaga for these sorts of things? I mean, I get that it’s fun to tear it up, but beyond that, is there a reason? Are cats like this, too? I am fascinated.) And the third shot is of The Bunk napping sweetly on the big pillow.
Happy Birthday, big man!
The Bunk Gnaws Chicken, On the Alert.
Exhibit A: The Bunk Caught in Brazen T.P. Raid. 
The Bunk Bunks Out Blissfully on the Big Pillow.
So, the weather...as I said in my last communication, I’m thinking we are approaching spring rapidly. Notwithstanding Tuesday night’s frigid temperatures, there’s little evidence that we’ll have to deal with “wintry” weather (precipitation or chills) for much longer. Check it out...
The weather:
Weather narrative: For the remainder of the week, we’ll see far milder temperatures. Some rain is possible on Thursday into Friday, after which things will cool off somewhat again for the weekend.
Next week will start out seasonably cool, but temperatures will once again rise into the 50s by week’s end. Rain is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday, and into Thursday morning. If a cold front coincides with some weekend precipitation, we may see some sleet on or around the 7th, but then things moderate again.
Beyond the forecast: Warming up as we approach mid-March.
Monsoon's Quick Update for Friday, 20 February 2009
Today will be cold and rather windy with a high only around freezing and an overnight low of 19. We could see a stray flurry or two this morning.
Saturday will be not quite as cold with partly cloudy skies and a high getting up to 40. Clouds roll in later ahead of a clipper. Light snow begins sometime around 8 or 9 at night and continues off and on until about mid-morning on Sunday. Total accumulations for this weak and widely scattered event will be nothing more than a coating to an inch. (I will send an update if this changes.)
Sunday will begin with a little snow, then turn out partly cloudy and rather windy. High 35, low 21.
Next week is looking breezy and cold to start with highs in the mid 30s and lows around 20. A little milder toward the end of the week with highs creeping into the 40s; rain is possible on Thursday and Friday.
Next weekend looks mild and pleasant with highs in the mid 40s and lows just below freezing.
The next chances for snow are March 2nd-3rd and March 5th-6th as it turns colder and a couple of potential weather-makers roll through, but given our track record with potential storms this winter, I wouldn’t hold your breath...
Have a great weekend!
Monsoon's Weather Update for Wednesday, 18 February 2009
There’s one storm brewing for Monday the 23rd—which could disappoint us, as have many others this winter—but I’m getting the feeling (a full month before the vernal equinox) that the season may be coming to an end. (Am I saying this because the opposite of what I’ve stated has come true so often? A little reverse psychology on Mother Nature? Or do I really believe this? I cannot say.)
Anywho: here’s the weather...
Wednesday – chilly and breezy with snow showers starting by late morning—accumulating not more than a half-inch in most places, and mainly on grassy surfaces—becoming rain showers in the afternoon, tapering late. High 40, low 33.
Thursday – partly to mostly cloudy and windy with a brief snow shower or two possible, particularly in the morning. High 42, low 24.
Friday – colder and quite windy with partly cloudy skies. High 33, low 21.
The weekend – cloudy Saturday with a high in the mid 30s; Sunday will see clouds and sun with a high around freezing and a few snow showers or flurries possible, mainly in the morning.
Monday – overcast with snow possible; stay tuned for updates on this one, which could be an impressive event if it falls right. High 34, low 23.
Tuesday – seasonably milder and partly cloudy. High 38, low 26.
Wednesday – overcast with a bit of rain and/or snow possible. High 36, low 30.
Thursday – rainy. High 46, low 39.
Friday – rainy. High 48, low 36.
Next weekend – partly cloudy and seasonable with highs in the mid 40s and lows at or just below freezing.
Beyond – colder with highs in the 30s and some frozen precipitation possible on Monday the 2nd and/or Tuesday the 3rd.
Nothing Neither Way?
It’s been a season of near-misses, with lots of storms either heading to our north or to our south, and few direct hits. (Actually, shouldn’t the term be “near-hit”? I present this George Carlin monologue to honor his recent passing and celebrate his unassailable logic.)
Here's one they just made up: “near miss.” When two planes almost collide, they call it a “near miss.” It’s a near hit. A collision is a near miss. (WHUMP!) “Look, they nearly missed!” ... “Yes, but ... not quite.”
The storm has taken a turn well to our south, so I don’t even think we’ll see a whole lot of cloud cover—let alone any precipitation—for Valentine’s Day. The next good chances of a snow event are Monday and Thursday. See below for details.
Today will be partly to mostly sunny with those high winds subsiding by late morning or so. High in the mid 40s, low in the low 20s.
Valentine’s Day looks partly cloudy with a high in the low to mid 40s and a low again in the low 20s.
Sunday will bring more of the same: seasonably cool weather and plenty of sunshine with highs in the mid 40s and lows in the mid 20s.
Presidents Day could bring some snow late—though it’s looking increasingly as though that system will also slide to our south. I will let you all know if that changes. For now, let’s call is partly to mostly cloudy and colder with a high of 37 and a low of 20.
Tuesday will be partly to mostly sunny and seasonable: high in the upper 30s, low in the mid 20s.
Wednesday will be mostly cloudy with a chance for sleet and snow, particularly late and overnight into Thursday. High 34, low 28.
Thursday may begin with some snow showers or flurries; remaining cloudy and windy for the day. High 37, low 24.
Friday will see the beginning of a trend toward colder-than-normal conditions: windy with perhaps a lingering snow shower or flurry; a high only in the low 30s, a low in the upper teens.
Next weekend (the 21st and 22nd) is looking interesting weather-wise, particular toward the latter half, which holds the chance for snow and sleet.
Beyond: seasonably cold with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s; lows generally in the mid 20s. Next good chance for snow is Tuesday the 24th.
Monsoon's Weather Update for Thursday, 5 February 2009
After this morning’s reading of 8 at my house (eight!) it’s difficult to believe that we’ll see temperatures in the mid 50s this weekend. But believe it.
Next good chance for snow will have to wait for that mid-month system I’ve been talking about.
Today: plenty of sunshine, but windy and bitterly cold. High 22, low 12.
Friday 2/6: sunny and not as cold. High 35, low 21.
Saturday 2/7: partly to mostly cloudy and milder. High 47, low 33.
Sunday 2/8: windy and unseasonably mild with partly cloudy skies. High 54, low 38.
Monday 2/9: mostly sunny, breezy and cooler. High 42, low 27.
Tuesday 2/10: mostly cloudy with rain developing late. High 44, low 30.
Wednesday 2/11: overcast and breezy with intermittent rain and drizzle. High 45, low 36.
Thursday 2/12: overcast; cooling later with perhaps a rain or snow shower. High 38, low 22.
Friday 2/13: partly cloudy with moderate winds. High 36, low 20.
Next weekend: colder with snow likely the 14th into the 15th. This could be enough to cancel school on Monday the 16th, for those of you who have it. (Mifflin has off.)
Beyond: cold with highs just below freezing and lows in the upper teens; quite windy to begin the week. I’m looking at a system on the 19th and 20th for some possible snow.
Monsoon
"Big" Storm a Bust...
The “triggers” that would have led to a major storm do not appear to be in place, so I think we’re going to be left with an extended period of light to moderate snowfall and flurries from this evening through Tuesday night. Here’s how it plays out:
Monday: a bit of rain develops by mid-afternoon, quickly changing to snow, perhaps giving us a coating by evening commute. Expect a high of 40 in the early afternoon, dropping through the rest of the day. A few snow showers at night and overnight as temperatures dip into the mid 20s.
Tuesday: intermittent snow showers with perhaps a period or two of heavier snowfall, tapering off in the late evening. Snow will generally be light, and will cause relatively insignificant traffic hazards. High 32, low 18.
Wednesday: windy and very cold with increasing sunshine. High 24, low 12.
Beyond: a trend toward moderating temperatures (highs in the 40s, lows at or just below freezing) begins this coming weekend.
Accumulations: fairly light over all. My call is 1-3 inches over the forecast area from Monday evening to Tuesday night.
Delays and cancellations:
Monday early dismissal, 25%
Tuesday delay, 15%
Tuesday cancellation, 30%
Wednesday delay, 20%
Wednesday cancellation, 10%
Stay tuned for updates if anything changes...
Monsoon
We Want the Bunk! Gotta Have that Bunk! (ow)
Habari mori,
The purpose of this post is twofold: to update you regarding my thinking about the potential storm next week, and to update you about the growth of The Bunk. Starting, then, with the most important news of
the two...
Bunk just turned five months old on January 24th and is filling out nicely. He’s every bit the delight he was when he first came into our lives two months ago, and his training continues to go swimmingly. (He’s mastered “sit” and “down” and is working on “stay,” “come,” and “leave it.”)
I thought I’d share some new pictures of Bunk, who now weighs 32 pounds—he was around 22 when we got him—and will apparently not stop growing until sometime this summer! In the first picture, Bunk is happily stretched out on the rug in our bathroom; in the second—an action shot—Bunk is furiously trying to bite the hot air that is being blasted from the hair dryer by his cruel daddy. And the final picture is a close-up of Bunk’s sweet face as he sleeps serenely at the end of the couch.
The Bunk at 5 months
The Bunk vs. Hair Dryer
The Bunk at Rest
An update about the Nor’easter that could affect our weather on Monday and Tuesday: the models continue to be out of agreement, but trends suggest this is going to be a bust. We’re still nearly 48 hours from the event (or at least the part of the event that could be interesting), so a lot can happen between now and then, but here’s what I’m thinking as of now...
Monday will bring rain showers by late afternoon continuing into the overnight hours, with a few snowflakes mixing in. Maybe as much as a coating to a half-inch by Tuesday morning, but nothing to worry about. High 41, low 33.
Tuesday will see some snow showers and increasing wind, but since the low looks to be positioning itself off the coast, the storm will track to the east of what was originally thought, the amount of moisture will be less, the foot-plus snow dump will be averted. High 34 low 18.
Wednesday will see some lingering flurries, high winds, and much colder conditions. High 26, low 14.
The remainder of the week looks sunny, seasonably cold, and dry: highs around freezing and lows in the low 20s.
The weekend looks cloudy and milder with highs in the upper 30s to near 40, and lows just below freezing.
The following week is looking a bit colder; I’m still looking at the 13th and 14th for something interesting...
Monsoon Martin's Complete Weather Forecast for Friday, 30 January 2009
Here's a forecast to give you some idea of the weather we'll be seeing through the middle of February...
The weather...
Weather narrative: As far as snowfall is concerned, we may have a few snow showers today, but this is nothing to worry about. There’s a system on Monday into Tuesday that we in the weather community are looking at with some interest, but as of now it looks like mostly or all rain. I will keep you posted if I see anything of concern.
Otherwise, watch out for pretty strong winds on both Saturday 1/31 and Wednesday 2/4.
Beyond the forecast: The following week (beginning with 2/9), we’ll see generally milder weather with highs in the 40s to approaching 50, and plenty of moisture in the beginning of the week; colder temperatures but no snow (or so it appears now) for the remainder of the week. I’m looking at 2/14 and 15 for something interesting in the way of a major storm.
Monsoon's Tuesday afternoon update...
I'm sticking with all aspects of my earlier forecast except the timing of the changeover: it appears warmer air will move into the upper levels of the atmosphere earlier, causing a sooner changeover. So it is: snow until just after midnight, when it will mix with then change over to sleet and freezing rain.
Since surface temperatures will still be below freezing when we are to commute in the morning, I think things still look favorable for a delay or cancellation.
Freezing rain may change over to all rain in the later morning and afternoon before ending as snow showers in the evening.
For Wednesday... Chance of cancellation: 75% Chance of delay: 80%
Monsoon
Monsoon Martin's Final Call
Alright, here’s the final call for this storm.
The messenger of Allah, the Most Honorable Elijah Muhammad, teaches that...
Sorry, got confused again about the “final call” thing.
After the flurries and brief snow showers this morning, we’ll have partly to mostly cloudy conditions for most of the day—this will give us just a dusting, perhaps an inch in isolated areas.
The actual storm will move in around 6 or 7 tonight, when it will begin snowing fairly steadily. Snow will continue in varying intensities overnight. We should have 4-5 inches on the ground when we wake up and wait for the calls on Wednesday morning.
Snow will mix with, then change to, sleet and freezing rain sometime between 8am and 11am Wednesday, adding another dimension of danger to this event in terms of driving hazards, power outages, and the like. The heaviest precipitation is likely to arrive in this period generally (6am to noon) so this could get quite nasty.
Precipitation may change back to snow briefly in the late afternoon or early evening as it tapers off and the storm pulls away.
Early dismissal Tuesday: 20%
Delay Wednesday: 60%
Cancellation Wednesday: 85%
Delay Thursday: 40%
Cancellation Thursday: 10%
Total accumulation of snow and ice: 4 to 6 inches, with isolated areas (particularly northern Berks) getting up to 8 inches.
Monsoon's Monday afternoon storm update
Monday afternoon update:
We won’t see a lot of snow overnight tonight and into Tuesday morning / afternoon. Maybe a coating to an inch in isolated areas by Tuesday morning.
Snow intensifies around 5 or 6 Tuesday evening (so I think the Tuesday commute home from school shouldn't be too bad) and continues through the night. Snow mixes with and changes to sleet on Wednesday morning, creating more travel difficulties as perhaps a quarter-inch of ice accumulates on top of the snowfall.
Delay Tuesday: 10%
Cancellation Tuesday: 15%
Early dismissal Tuesday: 35%
Delay Wednesday: 95%
Cancellation Wednesday: 70%
I’ll make my “final call” (not the Nation of Islam newspaper, but my last, official forecast on this event) on Tuesday morning, with further updates as needed.
Monsoon's Initial Call on the Midweek Storm
Habari mori,
We’re still 60 hours from the event, so my call can (and probably will) change between now and then. (In other words, don’t hold me to it!) That said, here’s my initial call:
Light snow and flurries beginning on Tuesday late afternoon and evening, becoming steadier and heavier Tuesday night and overnight into Wednesday. Snow will be heaviest Wednesday morning, continuing throughout Wednesday afternoon and evening, then tapering by early Thursday morning.
Some forecast models are presenting the chance for “heavy” snow with this system, so we might be hearing quite a bit about it as it approaches.
My feeling in terms of cancellations and delays: no early dismissal Tuesday; widespread school cancellations Wednesday; and widespread delays on Thursday morning. Accumulations 4 to 6 inches generally.
Stay tuned for updates on timing, amounts, and delay/cancellation predictions.
Monsoon's Quick Weather Update for Friday, 23 January 2009
A quick forecast update...
Today will be partly to mostly cloudy and somewhat mild, with a high of 46; then getting down to 20 overnight.
Saturday looks mostly sunny, windy and colder. High of 31, low of 12. Wind chills at night will approach zero.
Sunday will be partly sunny, breezy and cold. High 26, low 11.
Next week looks like more of the same: highs in the mid to upper 20s; lows in the low to mid teens through Wednesday. Snow is possible Tuesday night and Wednesday, so stay tuned for updates as this event comes into sharper focus. Thursday will be a bit milder with highs in the upper 30s and lows in the mid 20s. Maybe some rain or snow showers on Thursday.
Next weekend looks fairly typical for this time of year: highs in the mid 30s, lows in the mid 20s.
Beyond: cold again with highs not getting out of the 20s for the first week of February. There are some indications that the pattern is shifting and we could get walloped with at least one or two good snowstorms from the 2nd through the 4th.
Monsoon's Percentages for Cancellation and Delay Tuesday
Now that the snow is pulling away from our area and most of us have made it home, I'm getting all kinds of reports about how nasty the driving is: slippery areas (especially on bridges) and accidents galore on the highways (I've heard 222 and 78 are notable hazard spots). Might be a good idea to limit your travel tonight.
Things may improve a bit overnight with some salting and plowing, but particularly on secondary roadways, things are going to be dicey during the Tuesday morning commute.
My predictions for cancellation and delay Tuesday 1/20:
Cancellation: 25%
Delay: 70%
Monsoon's Weather Update
Hey--
I meant to get this out earlier, but I had a killer migraine headache that kept me in bed most of the morning.
The snow that many of us see falling right now can continue on and off through late afternoon, accumulating as much as an inch in some places. Please use caution when driving--especially on secondary roads--but generally things should not get too treacherous.
Monday – a few light to moderate snow showers and flurries through late afternoon, accumulating in some places as much as an inch; cloudy and seasonably cold. High 32, low 18.
Tuesday – partly cloudy, breezy and colder. High 28, low 12.
Wednesday – plenty of sunshine, breezy and continued cold. High 26, low 15.
Thursday – partly to mostly sunny and a bit milder. High 37, low 24.
Friday – mostly cloudy with a chance of a few snow showers, not amounting to much. High 36, low 25.
The weekend – windy with more clouds than sun; a few flurries or light snow showers are possible on Saturday. Highs in the mid 30s, lows in the low 20s.
Next week – colder with highs below freezing and lows in the teens. Snow is possible on Tuesday the 27th and Thursday the 29th.
Beyond – the following weekend looks a bit milder (highs toward 40) and perhaps some rain.
Monsoon's Forecast Update - Winter Weather
Update on tonight's weather event:
Snow showers will not begin until 9 or 10pm; snow will actually be moving in within the next few hours, but the air is so dry it will have trouble reaching the ground at first. Accumulations will be light—up to two inches in northern Berks, Allentown, and points north; a coating to an inch in southern Berks, northern Lancaster, and Harrisburg. The track of this clipper could shift southward and produce up to 3 inches over most of the forecast area, but this is quite unlikely. Light snow showers and flurries will continue intermittently into Thursday morning, tapering toward mid-morning.
Conditions will become significantly colder following this system. After a high of only about 24 on Thursday (when very windy conditions will actually make it feel like it’s in the single digits), the temperature will fall to about 4 at night. Afternoon temperatures on Friday will only reach about 14 before falling to zero overnight (with wind chills in the negative teens).
Chance of cancellation Thursday: 30%
Chance of delay Thursday: 55%
Chance of cancellation Friday: 35%
Chance of delay Friday: 50%
Cold, but not as cold, over the weekend with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens; a chance of some stray snow showers overnight Saturday into Sunday. Stay tuned for updates on that event.
Next really good chances for snow are Friday the 23rd and Tuesday the 27th.
Monsoon's Complete Forecast for Monday, 12 January 2009
Habari mori,
Here’s a complete forecast for the coming two weeks, which includes several opportunities for wintry weather. This Tuesday we should just see some flurries and brief snow showers, while Thursday’s clipper system will likely skirt our area to the north (as Saturday’s event did, giving us an icy coating to an inch instead of half a foot).
The weather:
Weather narrative: Temperatures will reach into the balmy lower 40s tomorrow ahead of a cold front that will give us the most bitterly frigid temperatures in a few years—highs in the mid to upper teens and lows approaching zero. Two winter weather systems look as though they will just miss us: Tuesday night, the bulk of the moisture will pass well to our south (and some to our north) leaving us with some snow showers and flurries; on Thursday, forecast models suggest a clipper system will pass to our north, giving northern PA and NJ the most significant accumulation and leaving us with only a coating at the most. As the frigid conditions subside a bit, we could see some snow showers or flurries on Sunday, but again, nothing to get excited about. Highs around freezing for the first half of the week; snow is likely sometime around Thursday the 22nd. Perhaps some snow on the weekend of the 24th-25th as well. Future weather: Highs in the 30s; perhaps a bit of a “January thaw” with highs getting into the 40s and even approaching 50 toward month’s end. Delay & cancellation potentials: I’m not sure if there are ever cancellations or delays due to extreme cold, but this may be the time to think about it. (Think about how cold it was this morning, at 24 degrees, then think about the fact that on Thursday morning it will be twenty degrees colder.) Delay / cancellation potentials for the remainder of this week... Tuesday 1/13: None. Wednesday 1/14: cancellation 10%; delay 20% Thursday 1/15: cancellation 20%; delay 35% Friday 1/16: cancellation 25%; delay 40%