Monsoon's Complete Forecast for Monday, 12 January 2009
Habari mori,
Here’s a complete forecast for the coming two weeks, which includes several opportunities for wintry weather. This Tuesday we should just see some flurries and brief snow showers, while Thursday’s clipper system will likely skirt our area to the north (as Saturday’s event did, giving us an icy coating to an inch instead of half a foot).
The weather:
Weather narrative: Temperatures will reach into the balmy lower 40s tomorrow ahead of a cold front that will give us the most bitterly frigid temperatures in a few years—highs in the mid to upper teens and lows approaching zero. Two winter weather systems look as though they will just miss us: Tuesday night, the bulk of the moisture will pass well to our south (and some to our north) leaving us with some snow showers and flurries; on Thursday, forecast models suggest a clipper system will pass to our north, giving northern PA and NJ the most significant accumulation and leaving us with only a coating at the most. As the frigid conditions subside a bit, we could see some snow showers or flurries on Sunday, but again, nothing to get excited about. Highs around freezing for the first half of the week; snow is likely sometime around Thursday the 22nd. Perhaps some snow on the weekend of the 24th-25th as well. Future weather: Highs in the 30s; perhaps a bit of a “January thaw” with highs getting into the 40s and even approaching 50 toward month’s end. Delay & cancellation potentials: I’m not sure if there are ever cancellations or delays due to extreme cold, but this may be the time to think about it. (Think about how cold it was this morning, at 24 degrees, then think about the fact that on Thursday morning it will be twenty degrees colder.) Delay / cancellation potentials for the remainder of this week... Tuesday 1/13: None. Wednesday 1/14: cancellation 10%; delay 20% Thursday 1/15: cancellation 20%; delay 35% Friday 1/16: cancellation 25%; delay 40%