Nor'easter comes to a close
The snow should be ending by 9-10pm (already tapering). Generally 10-14 inches in Reading, Wyomissing, and around Berks.
In terms of school on Thursday 3/22, given the volume of snow; the duration of the event; the heavy, wet nature of the snow; and the fact that lots of secondary roads haven't even been touched - school is doubtful for tomorrow.
Working against these lingering effects: it's not going to get super cold overnight, and the sun angle should result in rapid melting.
Chance of delay Thursday, 93.17%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 76.24%
Chance of delay Friday, 24.59%
Chance of cancellation Friday, 3.22%
Second Phase Update
Snow showers - mostly light - will continue through 10-11pm tonight. Expect a bit of a lull until about 5-7am, when the second phase of snow gets going.
Snow continues, heavy at times, before tapering about 8-10pm Wednesday night. Scattered snow showers (and light snow) are possible overnight and into early Thursday morning.
Accumulation (in Berks) will be 8-12 inches, with isolated areas seeing higher totals. Due to the heavier snowfall, roads will become snow-covered, causing travel impacts.
Other accumulation projections for Wednesday's system:
New York / New Jersey
New York City, 12-18 inches
Princeton, 14-20 inches
Nutley, 13-17 inches
Toms River, 6-12 inches (more mixing initially; watch for coastal flooding and beach erosion)
Cape May, 4-6 inches (lots of mixing with significant ice accrual, coastal flooding, and beach erosion)
Pennsylvania
Columbia, 4-6 inches
Gap, 6-8 inches
Harrisburg, 4-6 inches
Lancaster, 4-6 inches
Lansdale, 10-14 inches
Lititz, 5-8 inches
Norristown, 10-14 inches
Philly, 12-16 inches
Royersford, 8-12 inches
Shippensburg, 3-5 inches
State College, just an inch or two
West Chester, 9-13 inches
School closing probability for Berks:
Chance of delay Wednesday, 14.33%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 74.09%
Chance of delay Thursday, 41.55%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 7.89%
Stay gold, Ponyboy.
Upgraded call on Spring Storm
So there are still two phases to this storm, and the first phase will still be minor. But the second phase, less minor.
Phase 1 begins early Tuesday afternoon and continues through 8 or 9pm. Expect on and off light snow and rain showers. Negligible accumulation and, since it's falling during the day, no accumulation on road surfaces.
Phase 2 begins by 5 or 6am Wednesday and continues throughout the morning and afternoon, tapering by 8-9pm. With this wave, we'll see accumulations of 6-8" (or more in isolated areas) generally in Berks, Lancaster, and Lehigh Valley. What is working against us in this storm is the fact that there will be mixing; the angle of the sun is sharper; and it's a very wet snow so there will be compacting. In the dead of winter, this would be a 16-20" storm. For mid to late March, it's less impressive and disruptive.
Philly and immediate suburbs will be around the same accumulation. They'll get more moisture, but there will be more mixing, so that'll cancel out.
Given the heavy snowfall rates expected on Wednesday (especially late morning and early afternoon), as well as ice accrual, I expect to see widespread travel issues across the region.
Watch for coastal flooding and beach erosion at the Jersey Shore.
Watch for limbs/trees/power lines falling due to heavy snow and wind, though as noted in the last forecast, the wind will not be as fierce as it was in the last coastal storm.
Impacts:
Chance of delay Tuesday, 3.15%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 5.01%
Chance of early dismissal Tuesday, 31.34%
Chance of delay Wednesday, 36.88%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 55.79%
Stay tuned for uhhhhhh WHEN WILL THIS WINTER END
This last messy gasp of winter
This is a storm that will have a long duration, but low impacts generally.
Here's what to expect:
On Tuesday, we'll see some rain and snow showers (pretty light) develop by 3-4pm. High only reaches 35. Only a coating to an inch of accumulation on grassy surfaces. Roads are just wet. Not a big deal at all. Kinda windy too, but nothing overwhelming.
Note: we'll likely see virga with this storm - where the radar indicates that there's snow falling, but it's evaporating before reaching the ground. Since our air is pretty dry and there's not a lot of snow cover, the light precipitation will, at times, fail to overcome that dryness.
(Down in Maryland, they could see 2-4 inches of accumulation and heavier snow, which will be more likely to impact roads.)
Then the second portion of this event comes through - Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. This portion will most likely come farther north (affecting us) and since it is falling mainly at night, it will potentially accumulate and cause disruptions.
Accumulation will be 1-2 inches on grassy surfaces, but snow may also accumulate overnight on secondary roads, causing some disruption to the Wednesday AM commute.
Impacts:
Chance of delay Tuesday, 1.33%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 0.03%
Chance of delay Wednesday, 28.11%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 4.58%
Stay tuned for updates, as small changes in track or temperature could have a major effect on the forecast.
The First Day of Spring Winter Storm 2018
Yep, you read that right: on the first day of spring, we're likely going to get an extended period of wintry weather.
This is a tough forecast because of the time of the year (in mid to late March, it has to snow very heavily to accumulate on roads during the daylight hours) and because there are a lot of "moving parts," meteorologically speaking.
For now, I'm leaning toward at least some snowfall between late Monday night and early Wednesday morning. Duration and impacts depend heavily on track and other factors, and the forecasting models have been trending away from a long, snowy solution. But I have a hunch the models will trend back toward a wintry solution as we near the event.
So for now, I'm just telling you what might happen, but I am declining to give a definitive forecast as of yet.
Stay tuned for updates as the picture becomes clearer Sunday and Monday.
CRAP hold on.
Little bit of a snowstorm headed our way. Not much, but it could impact the Tuesday commute.
Here's what to expect:
Snow showers (mixed with rain) develop Monday afternoon by 4 or 5pm. Rain gives way to all snow; more frequent snow showers from around 9pm Monday and 8am Tuesday. Some areas could see a few squalls (short periods of intense snowfall and wind) overnight. Accumulation only an inch or two.
Becoming windy and raw throughout the day with a widely scattered snow shower or two possible through Wednesday morning. Keep an eye on the Doppler. Road conditions will be mostly fine, but can deteriorate rapidly in a squall.
School impacts:
Chance of early dismissal Monday, 3.79%
Chance of delay Tuesday, 29.45%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 8.83%
Chance of delay Wednesday, 12.06%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 1.12%
Stay tuned for updates!
Monday 3/12 storm
Hi there.
I've been leaning this way, and models are increasingly in agreement: this coastal storm will be a "miss" for us.
Two emperor penguins, DJ Chillfeet (L) and MC Ice Barz, pose for cover shots ahead of their debut mixtape, All About Da Waddle, which drops on April 1.Goes to our south. Way to our south.
There's a slight chance of widely scattered snow showers on Monday afternoon and evening, but did you notice the modifiers I used there? I said "slight" and "widely scattered," so most of us will see nothing.
So just for shits and giggles, here's the forecast for the next week or so:
Sunday 3/11, lots of sunshine and less windy with a high in the mid 40s. Overnight low in the mid 20s.
Monday 3/12, more clouds than sun and SNOW SNOW SNOW!!! jk. High around 40. Overnight low in the mid 20s.
Tuesday 3/13, partly to mostly cloudy and becoming windier with a high in the low 40s. Could be a stray snow shower. Overnight low in the mid 20s.
Wednesday 3/14, cooler and sunny. High only in the upper 30s, which is low for this time of year. Overnight low in the upper 20s.
Thursday 3/15, more sunshine and a bit milder with highs in the mid 40s. But just ask Julius Caesar - anything can happen on this day. Keep your head on a swivel, for sure for sure.
Friday 3/16, sunny and even milder with temperatures climbing into the low 50s.
Next weekend looks milder (upper 50s) but with rain possible on Sunday 3/18.
The following week looks seasonably lovely with afternoon highs in the 50s and overnight lows only getting into the mid to upper 30s.
So have we seen the last of the----
No. Afraid not.
After the storm
Hi there.
So the storm shifted east, and I could explain why using meteorological jargon, but you don't care. You may not even be reading this anymore. I can't blame you.
Just one more thing: wanted to give my school closing meter for Thursday 3/8.
For Berks County schools:
Chance of delay Thursday, 31.57%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 11.34%
The Sunday-Monday coastal storm is trending as a miss for us (out to sea).
Thundersnow in NJ! (Clip below.)
Stay tuned for updates!
Updated forecast for Wednesday 3/7/18
Right to it.
First, I will present the forecast for the Reading/Berks area. (Also applies to Lehigh Valley.)
Rain showers begin by 5-6pm on Tuesday. Changeover to all snow by 11-12pm. The most intense/heavy snowfall will be Wednesday from about noon-5pm. Tapers by 9-11pm. Could even be some stray flurries and snow showers on Thursday morning.
Accumulation: 8-12 inches. Maybe even a bit more in isolated areas.
My concern is that areas affected by power outages last Friday (some of whom still don't have it back on) may be impacted more severely by this storm. If you imagine a Venn diagram with that encompasses those slammed by last Friday's storm and those that are in the bull's eye for this storm, hunker down, guys.
School impacts:
Chance of school delay on Wednesday, 7.82% (wouldn't make much sense)
Chance of early dismissal Wednesday, 96.23% (if there is school)
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 79.27%
Chance of delay on Thursday, 61.55%
Chance of cancellation on Thursday, 43.11%
Forecast for areas other than Berks:
NYC and north Jersey (including Nutley), a bit more mixed precipitation, but still impressive totals of 7-9 inches. Snow doesn't get going til overnight Tuesday-Wednesday.
Lititz and Lancaster are right on the edge of this system. Same with Kirkwood and Gap. Just snow showers with 2-3 inches of accumulation.
Harrisburg and Shippensburg, definite outliers. Scattered rain and snow showers will give way to more frequent periods of snow on Wednesday afternoon. Only about 1-2 inches.
State College, you get snow showers on and off between Tuesday night and Wednesday night, but nothing that will accumulate or be problematic.
Philadelphia and immediate suburbs, 4-6 inches. (Isolated areas and higher-elevation areas get a little more.) A bit more mixing. Kinda windy, but nothing approaching what we had last Friday.
Princeton, NJ, pretty much the same accumulation as Berks and Lehigh. About 8-12 inches. Kinda windy.
Toms River, NJ, a wintry mix accumulating 2-3 inches. Unlike other places, the Jersey Shore and South Jersey will be impacted by sleet. So that will make things treacherous.
As always, please send your snow reports and travel impacts to me via email.
Stay tuned for updates.
Forecast: Wednesday, March 7, 2018
Right before he jumps (into what he assumes is a shallow puddle, to win a $1 bet), he says, "I do it for the kids."Alright, so there's more.
Monday will be quiet: mostly sunny with a high in the mid 40s.
Tuesday will be similar, but we'll see increasing clouds throughout the morning. On-and-off rain showers will begin by 2-3pm.
Rain will become steadier by about 8pm. Expect rain to begin mixing with wet snow by 10pm, and this mix will continue overnight.
I think it becomes all snow by 3-5am. It'll snow til Wednesday evening - maybe 6-8pm.
Amounts and precipitation type are especially tricky this time of year, given the sun angle, surface temperatures, and all the moving meteorological parts in this storm.
On Monday, I'm going to give more nuanced forecasts (like, broken down by area/specific location). So please let me know via email if you'd like me to include your area in my next forecast.
But here is what I expect for Berks:
Accumulation, 4-6 inches.
I don't see widespread outages and downed limbs/power lines with this storm. Not a whole lot of crazy wind with this one.
Chance of delay Wednesday, 65.44%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 41.66%
Stay tuned for updates!
Update on the Coastal Storm
Hi!
The forecast models have shifted a bit, so I need to adjust my forecast accordingly.
First, the winds are going to be more intense than I said in the previous forecast. Sustained winds above 30mph by Friday afternoon, with gusts as high as 60mph! That's tropical storm strength, tiptoeing toward category 1 hurricane strength.
So you'll want to bring in your garbage cans, bins, garden accoutrements -- anything that can become a projectile in high winds.
The second change is the start time for the snowfall - heavy, wet snow will start mixing in around 1 or 2pm. Accumulations will be negligible around here (an inch or two at most) and most paved surfaces will just be wet. BUT - and in the immortal words of P. W. Herman, "Everyone I know has a big 'but'" - the snow could be heavy at times during Friday afternoon, and when this happens, roadways can become covered and slippery quite rapidly.
Add the high winds and we're talking about near-blizzard conditions.
I would expect to see some power outages from this beast.
I am also adding a school closing meter for this storm:
Chance of cancellation Friday, 2.31%
Chance of early dismissal Friday, 27.92%
Stay tuned for updates and be sure to report road conditions, outages, and whatnot to me on the email.
Coastal Storm to Kick Off March
Thursday 3/1 starts with some sun, but clouds roll in rapidly. Rain and drizzle start by early afternoon. Heaviest rain is Thursday evening and overnight. Rain and showers continue through Friday morning and even to early Friday evening.
Temperatures: 50 Thursday afternoon, mid 40s overnight, and around 40 steadily on Friday. When temperatures dip into the mid 30s -- this happens around 10-11pm Friday night -- precipitation will just be winding up. There's the possibility of up to 1/2 inch of wet snow on the "back end" of the storm. But given the relatively mild surfaces temperatures recently and the light/scattered nature of these showers, the snow will just melt on paved surfaces and is nothing at all to worry about.
Speaking of snow: if this system were snow, using a 10:1 snow ratio, and considering most of us will be getting an inch and a half or more of rain, we are dodging a 15-20 inch snow dump here.
Watch out for flooding, especially in areas that already have swollen rivers and creeks.
The wind: picks up overnight. 10mph 6 or 7am Friday. Sustained winds over 20mph by noon Friday. Gusts over 40mph by late Friday afternoon and evening. Winds don't die down until Saturday afternoon and evening.
So is this it?
I'm looking at 3/10 and 3/14-15 for wintry weather potential. But these are outside chances.
Stay tuned for updates!
Update on Saturday's storm
Hi.
I stand by everything in my previous forecast (posted yesterday - Thursday 2/15).
A goatlet (that's what a small goat is called - look it up) jumps onto and offa a capybara (which means "chunky chipmunk" in Portuguese). It makes me happy.Except the part that says "2-3 inches of wet snow at most." This will still be a wet snow, but right around here (Berks, Lehigh, points north) looks like the "sweet spot" that could get 4-5 inches.
Time frame on this quick-moving storm is from 5-6pm Saturday to about 1-2am Sunday. So avoid travel during that window if at all possible.
Saturday, February 17th, 2018
When I said there was "nothing hinky coming," I suppose I spoke too soon.
Although we're in for a bit of snow on Saturday, it's not a major storm.
Here's what I think (as of Thursday 2/15, noonish):
It's going to get progressively cloudier throughout the day today, but really mild - high near 60. Expect rain after about 7 or 8pm, continuing overnight into Friday morning. Since the temperatures will stay in the mid 50s (even overnight), we're not at all concerned with freezing action with this.
On Friday we'll see the temperature drop throughout the day: 50s during the morning commute, 40s in the afternoon (with increasing winds), 30s in the evening (with diminishing winds), 20s overnight.
Happy 93rd birthday on February 17th to one of my favorite actors, Hal Holbrook. He is best-known for his critically acclaimed one-man stage show portraying Mark Twain - and, of course, his pivotal role as background informant "Deep Throat" in the film All the President's Men.Saturday starts out clear and sunny, but clouds up toward mid-afternoon as a fast-moving front approaches. Expect snow (wet, and maybe mixed with some rain at the start) by 4 or 5pm. The bulk of the snow should be from about 7pm Saturday to about 2am Sunday.
Accumulation: 2-3 inches of wet snow at most. Some slippery spots, but the relatively warm ground temperatures recently will help minimize this problem.
So the storm may impact your plans on Saturday evening and Sunday morning, but the bulk of the weekend remains viable for errands and outdoor merriment.
Sunday turns out sunny with a high in the mid 40s.
And then back up to the 60s by Tuesday and Wednesday! So any snowfall will be outta here quickly.
As this storm gets closer, its actual track/impacts/accumulation will become clearer, so stay tuned for updates!
It's the middle of February and highs are in the 40s-50s-60s - so is winter over?
Nah brah.
But there's nothing hinky coming, so that's good.
Hey there, crazy eyes! Happy birthday.First, let me wish a happy 57th birthday to Henry Rollins (born Henry Lawrence Garfield). For those of you unfamiliar with him, he was the lead singer of the punk band Black Flag, has made a bunch of kick-ass albums with his eponymous solo band, and tours relentlessly doing "spoken word" pieces that are one part political rant, one part observational humor, and two parts masterful storytelling. In this brief clip, Henry talks to Stephen Colbert about the value of anger.
The weather, though.
Wednesday, February 14th: sunny to start, high near 50. Rain later. But only rain. Overnight low in the lower 40s.
Thursday will be foggy and variably cloudy. Rainy at night. Unseasonably mild: high in the lower 60s, low in the upper 40s.
Friday will be a day of contrasts: rainy to start with a high in the 50s; low Friday night all the way down to the mid 20s.
Sunny and cold on Saturday 2/17 with a high in the mid 30s. Chance of snow showers overnight Saturday into Sunday, but no accumulation or travel impacts.
Mid-40s and partly cloudy on Sunday. Similar action on Monday.
Tuesday 2/20 and Wednesday 2/21 will be very similar to the next couple of days: mild (highs in the mid to upper 50s) with rain and drizzle, and foggy dampness, and what have you.
And then cooler again on Thursday. Sunny with a high in the low to mid 40s.
So wait, Monsoon. We're almost to the end of February in this forecast. No snow to speak of. I told you winter was over.
Not so fast, Skippy.
The period from February 28th through March 8th looks unseasonably cold and uncharacteristically active in terms of snow/ice/sleet/freezing rain. So potentially kind of nasty. Delays are likely.
And then there's always the chance for a wintry Nor'easter from mid-February through mid-March.
So stay tuned for updates!
Remember to submit your questions about the weather (or not the weather) to me via email.
Monsoon
Should we talk about the weather? (hi, hi, hi)
Just had that song in my head.
Anywho, the weather.
Becoming milder!
Friday will be overcast with a chance of widely scattered flurries in the afternoon. No big deal. Seriously. Temperatures in the mid 30s for much of the day.
Saturday and Sunday look rainy, but the good news is that it'll be rain (not snow or mixed precipitation). It'll also get warm enough (upper 40s on Saturday, lower 50s on Sunday) that the existing ice/snow slop will melt. Downside of that: the rain (which will be heavy at times, particularly on Saturday night and Sunday morning) could combine with the icemelt to cause flooding. :(
Travel note: we could see some fog on Sunday morning, so watch out for travel delays (by air or by ... wheels) due to fog, rain, flooding, whatnot.
Monday 2/12 looks a bit chillier behind that rain-producing front. Expect highs in the low to mid 40s with overnight lows in the mid 20s. Pretty cloudy, too.
Partly cloudy and seasonable with highs in the lower 40s and lows in the mid to upper 20s on the following dates:
Tuesday 2/13
Friday 2/16
Saturday 2/17
Sunday 2/18
But what about Wednesday 2/14 and Thursday 2/15, Monsoon? Why have you skipped those dates?
I AM SO GLAD YOU ASKED.
There may be a lil bit of snow/rain on those days. Not huge amounts, and not steady. But enough to be a nuisance.
(Did I oversell that?)
Of course, track and temperature will be key, so there will be updates forthcoming.
Fret not, dear readers.
And stay tuned for updates, why doncha?
THE EAGLES ARE SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS!!!!!
Amazing. That was just ... breathtaking.
So, focusing on Wednesday's weather: it's going to be a lot like Sunday. Snow, then freezing rain. Slippery driving.
Here's my call, subject to updates / tweaks:
Precipitation begins as snow between 5 and 7am Wednesday.
Sometime between 11 and 1, snow will mix with sleet (frozen pellets) and freezing rain.
Freezing rain (rain that freezes onto surfaces) becomes plain rain (rain that just stays water even when it hits the ground). Expect this to happen between 2 and 4.
And there may even be some mixing back to snow as precipitation ends between 8 and 10pm.
Accumulation: 2 to 4 inches of snow, with .1 to .2 inch of icy crust on top. (This is for Berks. Northern Berks, Schuylkill County, and the Poconos could get higher amounts.)
In Philadelphia and its immediate suburbs, central and south Jersey, and even Lancaster, expect little to no snow accumulation, but (potentially more hazardous) extended periods of sleet and freezing rain.
Impacts: slippery travel, especially on secondary roads, driveways, and lots. Expect hazardous travel between 8am and 2pm.
Schools: timing and temperature are everything, which is usually true with winter forecasting, but especially in this case.
Chance of delay Wednesday, 11.31%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 38.14%
Chance of early dismissal Wednesday, 16.52%
Chance of delay Thursday, 67.33%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 11.22% [note - I forecast the weather. My percentage for Thursday does not account for area schools that may actually close for the Eagles Super Bowl parade.]
Stay tuned for updates!
SUPER BOWL LII FORECAST
All credit for this brilliant image goes to Trevor Wagner, former student and current friend, who, in a Facebook post, referred to Bill Belichick as "Mama Fratelli in a hoodie." I Googled the genius phrase and lo and behold, someone had made the comparison, because it's the internet and of course someone had made this. If I Googled "Stratford-upon-Avon diaper rash walrus," I'm sure something would come up, and I'm positive I wouldn't want to see it.I'm just a little bit excited about the Eagles being in their third-ever Super Bowl and, I predict, finally winning the damn thing.
Eagles 27, Patriots 10.
Now to the weather. We got some proper snow this morning into early afternoon. I expected light snow showers before a rapid changeover to plain rain. And yet, there it was, proper snowing as I drove to Corropolese to pick up my tomato pie for the big game.
So if you're reading this on Sunday afternoon, some secondary roads are still slick - there's a solid coating of snow with a freezing-rain crust on top. But as temperatures rise into the mid and upper 30s and plain rain predominates, expect roads to be just fine.
Rain is finished by 7-8pm. Temperatures will dip into the upper 20s overnight and it'll be windy as (deflated) balls by AM commute time. But I don't expect to see many delays - especially given the fact that we may be looking at a snow day midweek.
Chance of delay Monday 2/5, 12.77%
Chance of cancellation Monday 2/5, 3.29%
So Monday becomes sunny with gusty winds and a high only in the upper 20s.
Tuesday is variably cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon and evening, signifying nothing.
Wednesday is the interesting day. By 2-4am we should see snow develop. This continues on and off until 10-12, when temperatures rise into the upper 30s and we see precipitation mix with (then change rapidly to) plain rain. But the snow could accumulate 1-3 inches before the rain comes, causing some driving issues and resulting in cancellations.
Thursday looks partly cloudy and cold with a high near freezing. Little milder for Friday (high in the mid 30s) but still partly to mostly sunny.
Saturday into Sunday there's a chance for more substantial snow, but it's too early to pinpoint amounts (a lot depends on track and temperatures).
Stay tuned for updates!
Update for Tuesday morning
Right to 't: Snow showers overnight into tomorrow morning. 3am to 1pm, on and off. Accumulation only an inch or two.
But. Due to timing and slippery sidewalks / secondary roads, there's a chance of school scheduling impacts.
Chance of delay Tuesday, Jan 30: 36.554%
Chance of cancellation: 19.632%
Looking ahead:
Rain to snow Thu night into Fri morning. Minimal impacts.
Chance of wintry mix / ice Sunday night into Monday. Going to depend on track & temperature, so stay tuned for updates.
Forecast for the very end of January and then right on in to February
A few scattered showers overnight and into Sunday morning. Mostly cloudy with a high in the low 50s, then clouds breaking overnight.
Monday - clouds mixed with sun, then becoming overcast and cooler. High in the mid 40s. In the evening, a few rain showers are possible. Then - after midnight and into Tuesday morning, maybe 10am - expect some scattered snow showers. Fairly windy, too. It appears now that accumulation will be just an inch or two.
No school delays or whatnot.
Tuesday night is a return to the chill: low of 16. Brr.
Tuesday is January 30th. On this day, Dick Cheney, who is still alive, and who has therefore not died, turns 77, proving that karma does not exist.
Also on this day: Phil Collins turns 67, proving that the mere mention of his name can trigger you to hear the “In the Air Tonight” drum fill in your heads.
Wednesday 1/31 will be mostly sunny with a high in the mid 30s.
Thursday 2/1 will be overcast but milder - high in the upper 40s.
Friday’s interesting. It will precipitate. The high only gets up to the mid 30s, but warmer air aloft will make some of that precipitation plain old rain. I think it mixes with and changes over to snow by the late afternoon, but my preliminary analysis is that this is no biggie.
Next good chance for snow after this: I’m looking at February 6 and February 13-14. And the period from February 21-28 is looking really active. So yeah, more winter.